Estrela Amadora U23 - UD Leiria U23 prediction 8 September 2026
Estrela Amadora U23
UD Leiria U23Estrela Amadora U23
Farense U23Famalicao U23Estrela Amadora U23Felgueiras 1932 U23Estrela Amadora U23Estrela Amadora U23Moreirense U23Estrela Amadora U23UD Leiria U23Estrela Amadora U23Sporting Lisbon U23Maritimo U23Estrela Amadora U23Estrela Amadora U23Leixoes U23Academico Viseu U23Estrela Amadora U23Maritimo U23Estrela Amadora U23Gil Vicente U23Estrela Amadora U23Farense U23Estrela Amadora U23Estrela Amadora U23Rio Ave U23Vizela U23Estrela Amadora U23Estrela Amadora U23UD Leiria U23UD Leiria U23SCU Torreense U23Farense U23UD Leiria U23UD Leiria U23Santa Clara U23UD Leiria U23Gil Vicente U23UD Leiria U23Benfica U23Estrela Amadora U23UD Leiria U23UD Leiria U23Maritimo U23Leixoes U23UD Leiria U23Sporting Lisbon U23UD Leiria U23UD Leiria U23Rio Ave U23Vizela U23UD Leiria U23UD Leiria U23Portimonense U23Estoril Praia U23UD Leiria U23UD Leiria U23Farense U23UD Leiria U23Maritimo U23Estrela Amadora U23UD Leiria U23Estrela Amadora U23UD Leiria U23UD Leiria U23Estrela Amadora U23Estrela Amadora U23UD Leiria U23UD Leiria U23Estrela Amadora U23| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting Lisbon U23 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:10 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Academico Viseu U23 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:11 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 |  Estoril Praia U23 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 19:14 | +5 | 17 |
| 4 |  Rio Ave U23 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 16 |
| 5 |  Felgueiras 1932 U23 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 |  Sporting Braga U23 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:16 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Famalicao U23 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 |  Vizela U23 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Moreirense U23 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 18:10 | +8 | 12 |
| 10 |  Farense U23 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Benfica U23 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | UD Leiria U23 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |  Leixoes U23 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | +2 | 10 |
| 14 |  Santa Clara U23 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 |  Penafiel U23 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 |  SCU Torreense U23 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 |  Gil Vicente U23 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 |  Maritimo U23 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 | Estrela Amadora U23 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 6 |
| 20 |  Portimonense U23 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
Estrela Amadora U23 vs UD Leiria U23 Prediction (Sep 08)
Team Form
Estrela Amadora U23 are in a terrible run of form. Their last five matches in all competitions have resulted in one draw and four losses (L, D, L, L, L). They drew 0-0 away at Maritimo U23 on Aug 25, but lost 1-2 at home to Sporting Lisbon U23, 0-3 at home to Leixoes U23, 0-3 away at Academico Viseu U23, and 0-1 away at Maritimo U23 back in April. The team has scored only 1 goal in these five games, conceding 9.
On the other hand, UD Leiria U23 are flying high. Their last five matches show four wins and one draw (W, W, D, W, W). They beat Maritimo U23 2-0 at home, Leixoes U23 2-1 away, Rio Ave U23 1-0 at home, and Vizela U23 3-0 away. The only dropped points came in a 1-1 draw at Sporting Lisbon U23 on Aug 11. Across these five games, they scored 9 goals and conceded just 2.
Head-to-Head Record
These two teams have met four times in the Championship U23. The record is perfectly balanced: 1 win for Estrela Amadora U23, 2 draws, and 1 win for UD Leiria U23. The most recent meeting on March 9, 2026 saw UD Leiria U23 claim a 2-0 away victory. In the previous three encounters, Estrela Amadora U23 won 4-1 away in January 2026, and the two earlier contests in 2025 ended in 1-1 draws. So the head-to-head does not give a clear favorite, but the momentum has shifted towards Leiria.
League Table Positions
In the Championship U23 standings, UD Leiria U23 are 4th with 7 points from 3 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses). They have a game in hand and are in the top group. Estrela Amadora U23 do not appear in the top 12, meaning they are likely in the lower half of the table, struggling for points. The home teamโs poor form is reflected in their league position, while UD Leiria U23 are pushing for promotion.
Win Probability: Estrela Amadora U23 or UD Leiria U23?
Using the available data โ recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings โ we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows:
- Estrela Amadora U23 win: 20%
- Draw: 25%
- UD Leiria U23 win: 55%
UD Leiria U23โs dominant form (4 wins in 5) and high league position give them a significant edge. Estrela Amadora U23โs scoring drought and defensive frailties make a home win unlikely. The balanced head-to-head does increase the draw probability slightly, but the overall trend points to an away victory.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers are yet to release odds for this Championship U23 match. Without betting odds, our prediction is based purely on the statistical profile. UD Leiria U23 are the clear favorite to win, and the most likely scoreline could be 0-2 or 1-2. However, given Estrela Amadora U23โs home advantage and the history of draws in this fixture, punters may also consider the double chance (X2) as a safer option. Our final prediction: UD Leiria U23 to win.
Estrela Amadora U23 vs UD Leiria U23 โ FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Amadora U23 vs UD Leiria U23?
- Based on our analysis, UD Leiria U23 has a 55% chance of winning, Estrela Amadora U23 a 20% chance, and the draw is rated at 25%. UD Leiria U23โs strong form and higher league position make them the likely winner.
- What is the win probability for UD Leiria U23?
- UD Leiria U23 have a 55% win probability for this match. Their excellent recent form (4 wins in 5) and 4th-place standing in the Championship U23 justify this high percentage.
- When is the Estrela Amadora U23 vs UD Leiria U23 match?
- The match is scheduled for September 8, 2026, at 16:00 UTC. It is a Championship U23 fixture in Portugal.
- What are the odds for the match?
- As of now, no bookmaker odds are available for this fixture. Once odds are released, they will likely favor UD Leiria U23.
- What is the head-to-head record between Estrela Amadora U23 and UD Leiria U23?
- The teams have met four times: 1 win for Estrela Amadora U23, 2 draws, and 1 win for UD Leiria U23. The most recent game on March 9, 2026, ended in a 2-0 away win for UD Leiria U23.