Estrela Do Norte ES - Pinheiros ES prediction 22 July 2026
Estrela Do Norte ES
Pinheiros ESEstrela Do Norte ES
Linhares ESEstrela Do Norte ESAudax Sao Mateus ESEstrela Do Norte ESTupy GOEstrela Do Norte ESCapixaba ESTupy GOEstrela Do Norte ESEstrela Do Norte ESPinheiros ESEstrela Do Norte ESForte FC ESGremio Esportivo Laranjeiras ESEstrela Do Norte ESEstrela Do Norte ESPinheiros ESEstrela Do Norte ESForte FC ESSerra ESEstrela Do Norte ESEstrela Do Norte ESCapixaba ESEstrela Do Norte ESLinhares ESSerra ESEstrela Do Norte ESEstrela Do Norte ESRio Branco AC ES VictoriaCapixaba ESPinheiros ESPinheiros ESTupy GOEstrela Do Norte ESPinheiros ESPinheiros ESCapixaba ESTupy GOPinheiros ESEstrela Do Norte ESPinheiros ESPinheiros ESGalatasSerra ESPinheiros ESCapixaba ESPinheiros ESCastelo FCPinheiros ESLinhares ESPinheiros ESSao MateusPinheiros ESPorto Vitoria ESPinheiros ESCA ItapemirimPinheiros ESPinheiros ESCA ItapemirimEstrela Do Norte ESPinheiros ESEstrela Do Norte ESPinheiros ESEstrela Do Norte ESPinheiros ES| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estrela Do Norte ES | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21:1 | +20 | 22 |
| 2 |  Linhares ES | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 22:2 | +20 | 18 |
| 3 |  Rive AC ES | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Audax Sao Mateus ES | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:5 | +10 | 16 |
| 5 |  GEL | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |  Doze FC ES | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 7 |  Tupy GO | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 |  Capixaba ES | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:9 | +1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Colatina-ES | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:29 | -28 | 1 |
| 10 | Pinheiros ES | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5:27 | -22 | 0 |
Estrela Do Norte ES vs Pinheiros ES Prediction (Jul 22)
The Estrela Do Norte ES vs Pinheiros ES prediction for the Campeonato Capixaba Serie B match on Jul 22, 2026, points to a comfortable home victory. Estrela Do Norte ES enters as the overwhelming favorite with a 73% win probability, while Pinheiros ES has just a 3% chance of pulling off an upset.
Team Form
Estrela Do Norte ES
Estrela Do Norte ES has recorded three wins and two losses in their last five matches (L, W, L, W, W). Their recent results:
- Oct 04, 2025: Estrela Do Norte ES 0-1 Forte FC ES (L)
- Sep 20, 2025: Gremio Esportivo Laranjeiras 0-5 Estrela Do Norte ES (W)
- Sep 15, 2025: Estrela Do Norte ES 0-1 Pinheiros ES (L)
- Sep 06, 2025: Estrela Do Norte ES 1-0 Forte FC ES (W)
- Aug 29, 2025: Serra ES 1-2 Estrela Do Norte ES (W)
Over these five games, they scored 8 goals and conceded 3, showing solid attacking form despite two recent defeats.
Pinheiros ES
Pinheiros ES comes into this match with two wins and three losses in their last five (L, L, W, W, L). Their last five matches:
- Jul 17, 2026: Pinheiros ES 0-1 Capixaba ES (L)
- Jul 11, 2026: Tupy Jussara 1-0 Pinheiros ES (L)
- Sep 15, 2025: Estrela Do Norte ES 0-1 Pinheiros ES (W)
- Sep 05, 2025: Pinheiros ES 3-1 Galatas (W)
- Aug 15, 2025: Serra ES 4-0 Pinheiros ES (L)
The team has failed to score in their last two fixtures, both in July 2026, and their overall goal tally in the last five is 4 scored and 7 conceded.
Head-to-Head Record
These sides have met twice before. The most recent clash on Sep 15, 2025, ended in a 1-0 away win for Pinheiros ES in this same competition. The earlier encounter on Mar 13, 2021, finished 1-1. Pinheiros ES remains unbeaten in the head-to-head with one win and one draw, but both matches were close affairs.
League Table Positions
In the Campeonato Capixaba Serie B standings, Estrela Do Norte ES sits 2nd with 3 points from 1 match (2 goals scored, 0 conceded). Pinheiros ES is at the bottom in 10th place with 0 points from 2 matches, having yet to score a goal and conceding 2. The table clearly reflects the gulf in early-season form.
Win Probability: Estrela Do Norte ES or Pinheiros ES?
Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities: Estrela Do Norte ES has a 73% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Pinheiros ES has a 3% chance. The bookmakers' odds of 1.25 for a home win imply a probability of around 80% before removing the margin; after adjusting for the overround and factoring in Pinheiros' poor recent form and lowly league position, the home side remains the clear favorite. Estrela Do Norte ES is the team most likely to win this match.
Odds & Match Prediction
The pre-match odds for the 1X2 market are: Estrela Do Norte ES win at 1.25, draw at 3.75, and Pinheiros ES win at 34.00. Bookmakers see Estrela Do Norte ES as the strong favorite, and our Estrela Do Norte ES vs Pinheiros ES prediction aligns with that view. Considering the home advantage, superior form, and table standing, the best betting tip is a home win.
Estrela Do Norte ES vs Pinheiros ES โ FAQ
- Who will win Estrela Do Norte ES vs Pinheiros ES?
- Estrela Do Norte ES has a 73% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Pinheiros ES has only a 3% chance. Based on the odds and current form, Estrela Do Norte ES is the most likely winner.
- What is the win probability for Estrela Do Norte ES?
- Estrela Do Norte ES has a 73% win probability. This is derived from the betting odds of 1.25, adjusted for the bookmaker margin, and supported by their strong league position and Pinheiros' poor start.
- When is the Estrela Do Norte ES vs Pinheiros ES match?
- The match is scheduled for Jul 22, 2026, at 18:00 UTC. It is a Campeonato Capixaba Serie B fixture in Brazil.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The pre-match odds are: Estrela Do Norte ES win 1.25, draw 3.75, Pinheiros ES win 34.00. These odds heavily favor the home side.
- What is the head-to-head record between Estrela Do Norte ES and Pinheiros ES?
- In two previous meetings, Pinheiros ES has one win and one draw. The most recent match on Sep 15, 2025, ended 1-0 to Pinheiros ES.