| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 16 | |
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | +3 | 14 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 13 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | +2 | 12 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 12 | |
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:8 | +1 | 10 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:8 | +1 | 7 | |
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 4 |
The Estrella CF vs Llanos Aridane prediction for this Tercera Federacion match on Oct 10 at 11:00 leans towards a home victory. Based on our analysis of the available data, Estrella CF has a 50% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Llanos Aridane has a 20% win probability. The home side's superior form and the visitors' recent struggles are the key factors.
Estrella CF comes into this match with strong momentum. Their last five results show a consistent run of D, W, D, W, D. They are unbeaten in these recent outings, including a 2-1 home win against Herbania and a 1-1 draw with UD Las Palmas C. This solid form makes them a tough opponent.
In contrast, Llanos Aridane is in poor shape. Their recent form reads L, L, L, L, W. The sole win against Herbania is a bright spot, but heavy defeats like the 0-3 loss to Las Palmas B and narrow losses to Real Union de Tenerife and UD Tamaraceite highlight their defensive vulnerabilities away from home.
The head-to-head record between Estrella CF and Llanos Aridane is limited to one recent meeting. On Feb 8, 2025, they played a 0-0 draw in the Tercera Federacion. With only one H2H match and no wins for either side, the historical data suggests a tight contest but offers little to separate the teams.
Neither Estrella CF nor Llanos Aridane currently appear in the top 12 of the overall, home, or away league table standings provided for this Tercera Federacion group. Their absence from these leading positions indicates both are likely in the lower half of the table, making this a crucial match to climb the rankings.
After a thorough examination, the win probabilities are calculated as follows: Estrella CF has a 50% chance of winning, a draw stands at 30%, and a Llanos Aridane win has a 20% likelihood. This assessment uses the available odds as a base, normalizing them to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusts significantly for the stark contrast in team form and the home advantage for Estrella CF. While the H2H was a draw, Estrella CF's current unbeaten run gives them a clear edge over Llanos Aridane, who have lost four of their last five matches. Therefore, Estrella CF is the more probable winner.
Bookmakers' odds reflect the competitive nature of the game, with Estrella CF often listed as the favorite. The best available odds show a home win priced around 1.95, a draw at 2.10, and an away win for Llanos Aridane at 3.75. Based on the stats, form, and home advantage, our prediction favors an Estrella CF win. The draw is a significant possibility given the single H2H result, but an away victory for Llanos Aridane appears the least likely outcome.