Estudiantes de Queretaro - CD San Juan del Rio prediction 2 October 2026

Our Estudiantes de Queretaro vs CD San Juan del Rio prediction for this Liga TDP match on October 2, 2026, points to a comfortable home victory. Estudiantes enter the clash as clear favorites, carrying a 58% win probability based on form, H2H dominance, and bookmaker odds.

Team Form

Estudiantes de Queretaro's recent form (last 5 matches): D, L, W, W, W. The only recent home slip was a 0-0 draw against La Piedad Queretaro on September 18; prior to that they enjoyed three straight home wins, scoring 9 goals and conceding just 1. Their sole defeat in this sequence came away at Tepatitlan de Morelos II (2-1).

CD San Juan del Rio come into this fixture in poor shape: L, L, L, D, D across their last five games. They lost their most recent away match 3-2 at this very venue on November 28, 2025, and have suffered three consecutive defeats on the road. The team has managed only two goals in their last five outings while conceding seven.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors the home side. Estudiantes de Queretaro have won both previous encounters, both at home:

• Nov 28, 2025: Estudiantes de Queretaro 3-2 CD San Juan del Rio
• Feb 21, 2025: Estudiantes de Queretaro 3-1 CD San Juan del Rio

CD San Juan have yet to score more than two goals against their hosts, and have never avoided defeat in this fixture. The aggregate score stands at 6-3 in favor of Estudiantes.

Win Probability: Estudiantes de Queretaro or CD San Juan del Rio?

By blending bookmaker odds with current form and H2H data, we calculate the following match outcome probabilities:

• Estudiantes de Queretaro win: 58%
• Draw: 27%
• CD San Juan del Rio win: 15%

The base implied probabilities from the average odds were 48% home win, 33% draw, 19% away win. Given Estudiantes’ formidable home record (3 wins in last 4 home games) and CD San Juan’s dreadful away streak (three straight away losses, only two goals scored in last five overall), we have increased the home probability significantly and trimmed the draw and away chances. The H2H record further supports this adjustment, as Estudiantes have never lost to this opponent.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ 1X2 odds for this fixture show varying levels of confidence in the home side:

• Home win: 1.57 – 2.05
• Draw: 2.25 – 3.75
• Away win: 4.50 – 4.80

One bookmaker lists Estudiantes as short as 1.57, reflecting a strong home bias, while others offer 2.05 – still a clear favorite price. The best value arguably lies on the home win, given the statistical mismatch. Our match prediction: Estudiantes de Queretaro to win, with the scoreline potentially repeating the 3-2 or 3-1 pattern seen in prior meetings.