Gimnasia La Plata Reserves - Estudiantes La Plata Reserves prediction 23 September 2026
Gimnasia La Plata Reserves
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Gimnasia La Plata Reserves vs Estudiantes La Plata Reserves prediction for the Liga Profesional Reserves match on September 23, 2026 at 19:00. Based on the head-to-head record and recent form, Estudiantes La Plata Reserves are the favorites with a 50% win probability, while Gimnasia has a 20% chance and the draw stands at 30%.
Team Form
Gimnasia La Plata Reserves' last five results: W 2-0 vs San Lorenzo, D 0-0 vs Velez Sarsfield, L 0-1 vs River Plate, W 4-1 vs Racing Club, L 0-2 vs Sarmiento. That's two wins, one draw, two losses. They scored 6 goals and conceded 4, keeping two clean sheets.
Estudiantes La Plata Reserves' last five results: L 0-1 vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, W 3-1 vs Huracan, W 1-0 vs Ferro Carril Oeste, L 2-3 vs Boca Juniors, D 1-1 vs Independiente. Also two wins, one draw, two losses, with 7 goals scored and 6 conceded.
Both sides show similar inconsistency, making this a hard-to-call derby. Neither team has put together a consistent winning streak, but Estudiantes has slightly better attacking returns.
Head-to-Head Record
In the last three meetings, Gimnasia La Plata Reserves have never won. The record is 2 wins for Estudiantes La Plata Reserves and 1 draw.
- Apr 22, 2026: Estudiantes La Plata Reserves 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Reserves
- Sep 3, 2025: Estudiantes La Plata Reserves 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Reserves
- May 8, 2025: Gimnasia La Plata Reserves 0-2 Estudiantes La Plata Reserves
Estudiantes have kept two clean sheets in three clashes and won the only previous meeting at this venue 2-0 in May 2025. That gives them a clear psychological edge heading into the match.
Win Probability: Gimnasia or Estudiantes?
We calculate the outcome probabilities based on head-to-head, recent form, and home advantage.
- Gimnasia La Plata Reserves win: 20%
- Draw: 30%
- Estudiantes La Plata Reserves win: 50%
Despite playing away, Estudiantes' perfect H2H record (2 wins, 1 draw) heavily weights the forecast. Both teams have identical W2 D1 L2 form over their last five, but Estudiantes have shown better defending in direct clashes. Home advantage lifts Gimnasia's chances slightly, but the numbers point to an away win as the likeliest outcome. The draw also remains a real possibility given both teams' recent results. Based on the stats, the value lies with an Estudiantes win or a cautious draw-back bet.
Gimnasia La Plata Reserves vs Estudiantes La Plata Reserves โ FAQ
- Who will win Gimnasia La Plata Reserves vs Estudiantes La Plata Reserves?
- Based on our analysis, Estudiantes La Plata Reserves have a 50% chance of winning, making them the favorites. Gimnasia La Plata Reserves have a 20% chance, and the draw is at 30%.
- What is the win probability for Estudiantes La Plata Reserves?
- Estudiantes La Plata Reserves have a 50% win probability. Their dominant head-to-head record (2 wins in 3 matches, including a 2-0 away victory) and solid form with 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 justify this advantage.
- When is the Gimnasia La Plata Reserves vs Estudiantes La Plata Reserves match?
- The match takes place on September 23, 2026, at 19:00 local time, as part of the Liga Profesional Reserves in Argentina.
- What are the odds for the match?
- There are no odds currently listed for this match on the provided bookmaker. Market data was unavailable at the time of analysis.
- What is the head-to-head record between Gimnasia and Estudiantes Reserves?
- In their last three meetings in Liga Profesional Reserves, Estudiantes La Plata Reserves won twice (1-0 in Apr 2026 and 2-0 in May 2025) and one match ended 0-0 in Sep 2025. Gimnasia have yet to beat Estudiantes.