Etar Veliko Tarnovo - Fratria prediction 9 October 2026

Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria prediction for their B PFG match on October 9, 2026, at 18:00. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head statistics, Fratria enter the game as the favourite with a 40% win probability, while Etar Veliko Tarnovo have a 28% chance and the draw sits at 32%.

Team Form

Etar Veliko Tarnovo (W, D, L, L, W)

Etar's last five matches have been a rollercoaster with two wins, one draw, and two defeats. They scored 7 goals and conceded 10 in that span.

• Oct 3: Chernomorets Balchik 2-3 Etar Veliko Tarnovo (Cup) – Win
• Sep 27: Ludogorets Razgrad II 0-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo – Draw
• Sep 20: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-4 Chernomorets Burgas – Loss
• Sep 14: Hebar Pazardzhik 4-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo – Loss
• Sep 6: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1-0 CSKA Sofia II – Win

Fratria (W, W, W, D, D)

Fratria are unbeaten in five, with three wins and two draws. They have been prolific, scoring 11 and conceding only 4 goals in this run.

• Oct 3: Balkan Botevgrad 0-3 Fratria (Cup) – Win
• Sep 27: Fratria 3-0 Spartak Pleven – Win
• Sep 20: Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-2 Fratria – Win
• Sep 15: Ludogorets Razgrad II 1-1 Fratria – Draw
• Sep 7: Fratria 2-2 Chernomorets Burgas – Draw

Head-to-Head Record

Fratria hold a clear edge in this fixture, with 2 wins and 2 draws from 4 meetings. Etar Veliko Tarnovo have yet to win against Fratria. The most recent clash on February 17, 2026 ended 1-1 at Etar's ground. Other results: Fratria 2-0 (Aug 2025), Etar 1-1 Fratria (Apr 2025), and Fratria 3-1 (Oct 2024). Fratria have outscored Etar 8-3 across these encounters.

League Table Positions

Fratria currently sit 3rd in the B PFG with 22 points from 11 games (W6 D4 L1, GF17 GA8). Etar are 11th with 14 points from 10 matches (W4 D2 L4, GF17 GA19). Fratria boast an unbeaten away record (W2 D3 L0, GF8 GA5), while Etar's home form is not among the top eight sides in the division, pointing to difficulties in front of their own fans.

Win Probability: Etar Veliko Tarnovo or Fratria?

After stripping out the bookmakers' margin and adjusting for team form, H2H, and league position, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

Etar Veliko Tarnovo win – 28%
Draw – 32%
Fratria win – 40%

The odds market (e.g., 2.90/2.30/2.75) initially suggests a balanced contest, but Fratria's stronger recent performances, unbeaten run in this fixture, and higher league standing move them firmly into favourite territory. Home advantage gives Etar some hope, but their defensive frailties make them the underdogs.

Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Fratria: Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers are quoting around 2.90 for an Etar win, 2.30 for the draw, and 2.75 for a Fratria away victory. These odds reflect a close game but with Fratria slightly favoured. Based on all available data, our match prediction is a Fratria win. The visitors' momentum, defensive solidity, and historical edge make them the most likely to secure maximum points. A draw cannot be ruled out, given Fratria's two recent stalemates and Etar's occasional resilience.