Gamo Chencha - Ethiopia Nigd Bank prediction 26 October 2026
Gamo Chencha
Ethiopia Nigd BankGamo ChenchaEthiopia Nigd BankGamo Chencha
Halaba KetemaGamo ChenchaHalaba KetemaGamo ChenchaHarar City FCGamo ChenchaShashemene CityGamo ChenchaYeka Sub City FCBatu Ketema FCGamo ChenchaNib FCGamo ChenchaBench Maji BunnaGamo ChenchaAkaki KalityGamo ChenchaBurayu FCGamo ChenchaNekemte KetemaGamo ChenchaHarar City FCGamo ChenchaShashemene CityGamo ChenchaYeka Sub City FCGamo ChenchaGamo ChenchaEthiopia Nigd BankHawassa CityEthiopia Nigd BankMekelakeya Defence Force SCEthiopia Nigd BankCafe Sidama BunnaEthiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd BankBahir Dar KenemaNegelle ArsiEthiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd BankEthiopia BunnaAdama City KenemaEthiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd BankEthio ElectricHadiya HossanaEthiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd BankSheger KetemaEthiopian Insurance MedhinEthiopia Nigd BankEthiopia Nigd BankSaint George SCArba Minch KenemaEthiopia Nigd BankWelwalo AdigratEthiopia Nigd BankGamo ChenchaEthiopia Nigd Bank| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Negelle Arsi | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 8 |
| 2 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Ethio Electric | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | +1 | 7 |
| 4 |  Bahir Dar Kenema | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Mekelakeya Defence Force SC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Wolaita Dicha | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 5 |
| 7 |  Sheger Ketema | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 |  Adama City Kenema | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 |  Halaba Ketema | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 10 |  Ethiopian Insurance Medhin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Hadiya Hossana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 |  Saint George SC | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Ethiopia Bunna | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 |  Hawassa City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 |  Fasil Kenema | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Gamo Chencha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 |  Cafe Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank Prediction (Oct 26)
The Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank prediction for the Premier League match on Oct 26 gives the away side a slight edge to win, but the most likely outcome is a draw. Based on odds, form, and standings, Ethiopia Nigd Bank has a 30% chance of winning, while Gamo Chencha has a 27% chance, leaving a 43% probability for a stalemate.
Team Form
Gamo Chencha come into this fixture with a run of consistent draws. In their last five home matches (all in the Higher League), they recorded four draws and one win (D-D-D-W-D). They have been difficult to beat on their own turf but failed to turn draws into victories.
Ethiopia Nigd Bankโs recent away form in the Premier League shows two wins, two draws, and one defeat (D-W-W-D-L). The most recent away trip ended 1-1 at Hawassa City on Oct 22. Before that, they secured back-to-back 1-0 wins at Mekelakeya Defence Force SC and Cafe Sidama Bunna, so they travel with confidence.
Head-to-Head Record
There is no head-to-head record between these two sides. This will be their first ever meeting, so no historical data can influence the prediction.
League Table Positions
Ethiopia Nigd Bank sit top of the Premier League with 7 points from 3 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses). They have scored 3 goals and conceded just 1, playing all three games away from home. Gamo Chencha do not appear in the Premier League standings because their recent competitive fixtures have been in the Higher League. As a result, the visitors carry a clear league-quality advantage.
Win Probability: Gamo Chencha or Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Using the available 1X2 odds from bookmakers as a base and adjusting for team form, league position, and home/away factor, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:
- Gamo Chencha win: 27%
- Draw: 43%
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank win: 30%
A draw is the single most probable result (43%). However, when picking a winner, Ethiopia Nigd Bank are slight favourites over Gamo Chencha (30% vs 27%). The visitorsโ superior league standing and decent away record tip the balance in their favour.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see the draw as the most likely outcome, offering very short odds on a stalemate. One bookmaker lists the 1X2 market at 3.60 for a home win, 1.75 for the draw, and 3.55 for an away win. Other operators show similar patterns, with draw prices as low as 1.75โ1.85.
Based on the stats and probability model, the match is expected to be tight and low-scoring. Ethiopia Nigd Bankโs defensive solidity (1 goal conceded in 3 league games) meets a Gamo Chencha side that draws frequently at home. The smart prediction is a draw, but if you must back a side, Ethiopia Nigd Bank offers a marginally better chance at around 30% win probability.
Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank โ FAQ
- Who will win Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
- According to our probability model, a draw is the most likely result at 43%. Ethiopia Nigd Bank have a 30% chance of winning, while Gamo Chencha sit at 27%. The visitors are the slight favourites if a winner must emerge.
- What is the win probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank have a 30% win probability. This makes them the narrow favourites to claim victory, thanks to their top spot in the Premier League and a solid away record of two wins and a draw from three road matches.
- When is the Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank match?
- The match takes place on Oct 26 at 13:00 local time. It is a Premier League fixture in Ethiopia.
- What are the odds for Gamo Chencha vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
- One bookmaker prices a Gamo Chencha win at 3.60, a draw at 1.75, and an Ethiopia Nigd Bank win at 3.55. Other odds vary slightly, with draws offered as short as 1.75โ1.85 across the market.
- What is the head-to-head record between Gamo Chencha and Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
- There is no head-to-head record. These two teams have never faced each other before, making this their first official meeting.