Sportlust '46 - Excelsior Maassluis prediction 22 September 2026

Sportlust '46 vs Excelsior Maassluis prediction for the KNVB Beker match on Sep 22, 2026 at 19:00. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Excelsior Maassluis has a 35% chance of winning, while Sportlust '46 has a 31% chance, and the draw is at 34%.

Team Form

Sportlust '46's recent form (last 5 matches): W, D, L, L, W. Their results:

• Sep 1, 2026: Sportlust '46 3-1 Blauw Geel '38 (KNVB Beker) — W
• Aug 15, 2026: Sparta Nijkerk 3-3 Sportlust '46 (3 Derde Divisie) — D
• May 23, 2026: Harkemase Boys 4-1 Sportlust '46 (3 Derde Divisie) — L
• Apr 11, 2026: Hoogeveen 3-2 Sportlust '46 (3 Derde Divisie) — L
• Apr 4, 2026: Staphorst 0-2 Sportlust '46 (3 Derde Divisie) — W

Excelsior Maassluis's recent form: D, D, D, W, W. They are unbeaten in five matches:

• Sep 5, 2026: Excelsior Maassluis 0-0 VV Noordwijk (3 Derde Divisie) — D
• Sep 1, 2026: ADO '20 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis (KNVB Beker) — D
• Aug 15, 2026: RKSV UDI 1919 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis (3 Derde Divisie) — D
• Aug 8, 2026: Excelsior Maassluis 4-2 Jong Sparta Rotterdam (Friendly) — W
• Jul 11, 2026: Excelsior Maassluis 3-0 TOGB (Friendly) — W

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice before, both in friendly matches. Sportlust '46 won 3-1 at home in August 2021, while Excelsior Maassluis won 2-0 at home in August 2023. The head-to-head record is balanced with one win each and no draws.

Win Probability: Sportlust '46 or Excelsior Maassluis?

After analyzing the odds, form, and H2H, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Sportlust '46 win — 31%, draw — 34%, Excelsior Maassluis win — 35%. The bookmakers' average odds (home 2.55, draw 2.77, away 2.78) imply probabilities of 35.2%, 32.5%, and 32.3% respectively, before removing the margin. However, Excelsior's unbeaten run and solid away form give them a slight edge, while Sportlust '46's inconsistency at home lowers their chances. The draw is a strong possibility given both teams' recent results.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best odds available: home win around 2.75, draw 2.75, away win 2.70. Bookmakers see this as a close match with no clear favorite. Our prediction: based on the stats, Excelsior Maassluis is the most likely winner, but a draw is almost equally probable. For betting tips, the draw or Excelsior double chance could offer value.