Extremadura UD - Zamora CF prediction 26 September 2026

This Extremadura UD vs Zamora CF prediction covers the Primera Federacion match on Sep 26 at 12:00. Based on the available 1X2 odds, team form and head-to-head record, the draw is the most probable single outcome. Extremadura UD have a 35% chance of winning, the draw is at 40%, and Zamora CF have a 25% chance.

The fixture is a Spain Primera Federacion contest. The bookmakers make the draw the shortest price, which is a key point for betting tips and match outcome analysis.

Team Form

Extremadura UD have been inconsistent. Their last five results were L, L, W, L, W: a 0-1 home defeat to Cultural Leonesa, a 0-1 away loss at Barakaldo, a 1-0 home win against Racing Club de Ferrol, a 1-2 away loss at UD Logrones, and a 3-0 friendly win over Atletico Madrid B. That gives two wins and three defeats in the sample.

Zamora CF are also not in strong form. Their last five results were L, W, L, D, D: a 1-2 home loss to CD Lugo, a 2-1 away win at Arenas Club de Getxo, a 1-2 home loss to UD Logrones, a 1-1 home draw with Athletic Bilbao B, and a 1-1 friendly draw with Cultural Leonesa. Across those matches, they managed one win, two draws, and two losses.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is small. Extremadura UD and Zamora CF have met once in the supplied data, in a Friendly Clubs match on Jul 26, 2025. That game ended 0-0. The record is 0 wins for Extremadura UD, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Zamora CF.

Win Probability: Extremadura UD or Zamora CF?

To answer who will win, we used the bookmaker odds as the base. The first 1X2 odds are home 2.75, draw 2.05, away 3.50. The second 1X2 odds are home 2.72, draw 2.00, away 3.55. Removing the bookmaker margin and adjusting for home advantage and current form gives the following win probability: Extremadura UD win 35%, draw 40%, and Zamora CF win 25%.

The draw is therefore the most likely single result. Extremadura UD are the more probable team winner, boosted slightly by home advantage, but recent form is too mixed to raise their probability above the draw. Zamora CF are the away outsider, with just one win in their last five matches.

Extremadura UD vs Zamora CF Prediction: Odds & Match Outcome

The odds show the draw as the favourite at 2.00 to 2.05. An Extremadura UD home win is priced at 2.72 to 2.75, while a Zamora CF away win is offered at 3.50 to 3.55. Bookmakers see the draw as the most likely outcome, with Extremadura UD slightly more likely than Zamora CF if there is a winner.

Our final Extremadura UD vs Zamora CF prediction is that the draw is the best match outcome according to the stats. The win probability is 40% for a draw, 35% for an Extremadura UD win, and 25% for a Zamora CF win. If you are looking for a betting tip, the draw fits the odds and form profile; if you want to pick a team, Extremadura UD are the safer side.