Erzurum Buyuksehir - Eyupspor prediction 17 October 2026

Our Erzurum Buyuksehir vs Eyupspor prediction focuses on this Super League clash at Erzurum Kazım Karabekir on October 17, 2026, at 11:30. Based on form, head-to-head stats, and the latest odds, Erzurum Buyuksehir enters the match with a 43% win probability, making them the narrow favorite against an Eyupspor side struggling on the road.

Team Form

Erzurum Buyuksehir come into this fixture with a solid recent run at home. Their last five matches across all competitions read as D, W, L, W, D. In their most recent outing, they earned a 0-0 away draw against Alanyaspor. Prior to that, they secured back-to-back home wins against Samsunspor (1-0) and Konyaspor (1-0), demonstrating defensive resilience. The 3-0 defeat at Besiktas remains a blemish, but overall, Erzurum Buyuksehir have lost just once in their last five games.

Eyupspor's form is a major concern heading into this match. Their last five results are L, L, L, W, L. The team suffered a humiliating 8-0 thrashing at Fenerbahce on September 20. Losses to Caykur Rizespor (0-2) and Corum Belediyespor (0-3) followed a brief resurgence with a 2-1 win over Alanyaspor. Scoring only 2 goals while conceding 15 in their last five matches highlights significant issues at both ends of the pitch.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met five times in recent history, mostly in the 1st League, with the record slightly favoring Eyupspor. Erzurum Buyuksehir have 1 win, Eyupspor have 2 wins, and 2 matches ended in draws. The most recent encounter on December 25, 2023, saw Eyupspor cruise to a 3-0 home victory. At the Erzurum Kazım Karabekir, the last meeting on October 30, 2022, ended in a 1-0 win for Eyupspor. A prior home match for Erzurum Buyuksehir resulted in a 1-1 draw.

League Table Positions

Erzurum Buyuksehir's exact rank in the overall standings is not provided, but their home form places them 8th in the league, with 6 points from 3 games (2 wins, 1 loss, scoring 2, conceding 4). Eyupspor does not appear in the top ranks of the available away standings, indicating a poor traveling record. Erzurum Buyuksehir's home strength is a key factor, having won their last two league games at this venue without conceding a goal.

Win Probability: Erzurum Buyuksehir or Eyupspor?

Analyzing all available data, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Erzurum Buyuksehir has a 43% chance of winning, the draw is at 29%, and Eyupspor has a 28% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the prematch odds (home 2.02, draw 3.75, away 3.20) as a base, removing the bookmaker margin, and then significantly adjusting for team form and head-to-head data. Erzurum Buyuksehir's strong home defensive form contrasts sharply with Eyupspor's catastrophic away results, including an 8-0 loss, which heavily weights the probability in favor of the home side.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available prematch odds show bookmakers favoring Erzurum Buyuksehir: a home win is priced at 2.02, the draw at 3.75, and an Eyupspor away win at 3.20. This market assessment aligns with our analysis, identifying the home team as the more likely winner. Based on the stats, our Erzurum Buyuksehir vs Eyupspor prediction is a home win. Erzurum Buyuksehir's ability to keep clean sheets at home should be decisive against an Eyupspor side that has failed to score in three of its last four defeats.