| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 24:9 | +15 | 33 | |
| 2 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 37:8 | +29 | 32 | |
| 3 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32:10 | +22 | 32 | |
| 4 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 17:9 | +8 | 31 | |
| 5 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 19:11 | +8 | 29 | |
| 6 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:17 | +1 | 26 | |
| 7 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18:13 | +5 | 25 | |
| 8 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:11 | +13 | 24 | |
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 11:10 | +1 | 22 | |
| 10 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 | |
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 18 | |
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 15 | |
| 13 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7:14 | -7 | 14 | |
| 14 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12:20 | -8 | 14 | |
| 15 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11:24 | -13 | 9 | |
| 16 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:41 | -31 | 8 | |
| 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9:38 | -29 | 7 |
The Ezeiza vs Deportivo Metalurgico prediction for this Torneo Promocional Amateur clash on September 14, 2026, points to a tight contest. Based on the available data, the draw is the most likely outcome, but Deportivo Metalurgico holds a slight edge over Ezeiza. Let's analyze the team form, head-to-head record, and odds to determine who will win.
Ezeiza enters the match after a mixed run: in their last five games they recorded three wins and two draws (W, D, W, W, D). At home, they have won three, drawn two, and lost three of eight matches this season. Deportivo Metalurgico, on the other hand, have been impressive with four wins and one draw in their last five (W, W, W, D, W). Their away form is outstanding: six wins, one draw, and no losses in seven away games, making them the best away side in the league.
The only previous meeting between these sides took place on March 26, 2024, in the same competition. Ezeiza won 1-0 away from home. That result gives them a slight psychological advantage, but the sample size is too small to draw strong conclusions.
In the Torneo Promocional Amateur overall standings, Deportivo Metalurgico sits third with 32 points from 14 games (10 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Ezeiza is sixth with 26 points from 16 matches (7 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses). Deportivo Metalurgico has a far superior points-per-game average (2.29 vs 1.63) and a better goal difference (+22 vs +1).
Based on the odds, form, and table positions, the calculated win probabilities are as follows: Ezeiza has a 25% chance of winning, the draw is at 38%, and Deportivo Metalurgico has a 37% chance. The odds from bookmakers (home win around 4.00, draw near 1.87, away win around 3.00) imply the draw is the favorite, but Deportivo Metalurgico's excellent away record and league standing give them a slight advantage. Home advantage for Ezeiza and their narrow H2H win balance the probabilities.
Comparing the three sets of odds provided, the average prices are: Ezeiza win 4.17, draw 1.86, Deportivo Metalurgico win 2.94. The bookmakers see the draw as the most likely outcome, but Deportivo Metalurgico's strong form suggests they can avoid defeat. Considering all stats, a draw or a narrow away win seems the most probable result. Betting tips point towards backing Deportivo Metalurgico on the double chance (win or draw) or the under 2.5 goals market, as both teams have been involved in low-scoring affairs lately.