Famalicao - Alverca prediction 12 October 2026
Famalicao
Alverca
Rio AveFamalicaoParedesFamalicaoFamalicaoAlvercaNacional MadeiraFamalicaoFamalicaoSporting LisbonEstrela AmadoraFamalicaoFamalicaoGil VicenteSanta ClaraFamalicaoFamalicaoMaritimoEstoril PraiaFamalicaoFamalicaoComo 1907FamalicaoLusitania LourosaFamalicaoAlvercaEstrela AmadoraFamalicaoFamalicaoBenficaAlvercaAroucaTondelaAlvercaFamalicaoAlvercaAlvercaRio AveNacional MadeiraAlvercaAlvercaBragaAlvercaSanta ClaraSporting LisbonAlvercaAlvercaEstrela AmadoraFC PortoAlvercaMafraAlvercaFamalicaoAlvercaAlvercaEstoril PraiaFC PortoAlvercaAlvercaAroucaFamalicaoAlvercaFamalicaoAlvercaAlvercaFamalicaoAlvercaFamalicao| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting Lisbon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela Amadora | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 |
Famalicao vs Alverca Prediction (Oct 12)
The Famalicao vs Alverca prediction points to a home victory on 12 October 2026 in the Primeira Liga. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and team form, Famalicao enter the match as the clear favorite with around a 52% win probability.
Team Form
Famalicao's last five matches show a mixed run: one win, three draws, and one defeat. They beat Nacional Madeira 4-0 away, drew 1-1 with Sporting Lisbon at home, 2-2 at Estrela Amadora, 0-0 at home to Gil Vicente, and lost 0-1 at Santa Clara. Alverca have two wins, one draw, and two losses in the same period: a 1-0 home win over Rio Ave, a3-1 away win at Nacional Madeira, a1-2 home loss to Braga, a1-1 home draw with Santa Clara, and a1-3 away loss at Sporting Lisbon.
Head-to-Head Record
The last three H2H meetings give Famalicao a 2-1 edge with no draws. On 16 May 2026, Famalicao won 1-0 at home. Earlier that season, on 4 January 2026, Alverca won 1-0 at home. In November 2021, Famalicao won 2-1 away in the Cup.
League Table Positions
In the Primeira Liga standings, Alverca sit 10th with 8 points from 7 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Famalicao are not inside the top 12 in the available data, but their recent results suggest a lower-midtable position. At home, Famalicao have been hard to beat, with draws against Sporting Lisbon and Gil Vicente.
Win Probability: Famalicao or Alverca?
Famalicao has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Alverca has a 20% chance. This calculation starts from the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.94, draw 3.44, away 4.70) after removing the bookmaker margin, then adjusts for home advantage, head-to-head superiority, and Famalicao's solid home form. Alverca's away record is inconsistent, which lowers their probability further.
Odds & Match Prediction
Odds from one bookmaker list Famalicao at 1.94, the draw at 3.44, and Alverca at 4.70. Bookmakers see Famalicao as the favorite, and the stats back that. The recommended betting tip is a home win, but the draw is a real possibility given Famalicao's three recent stalemates.
Famalicao vs Alverca โ FAQ
- Who will win Famalicao vs Alverca?
- Famalicao are the more likely winners with a 52% probability. A draw has a 28% chance, and Alverca have a 20% chance of taking all three points.
- What is the win probability for Famalicao?
- Famalicao have a calculated 52% win probability. This is based on odds of 1.94, their head-to-head advantage (2 wins in the last 3 meetings), and home pitch factor.
- When is the Famalicao vs Alverca match?
- The Primeira Liga fixture kicks off on 12 October 2026 at 20:15 local time at Estรกdio Municipal de Famalicรฃo in Vila Nova de Famalicรฃo.
- What are the odds for the match?
- One bookmaker currently offers Famalicao at 1.94, the draw at 3.44, and Alverca at 4.70.