FC Ajka - Bvsc-Zuglo prediction 17 October 2026

FC Ajka vs Bvsc-Zuglo prediction for the NB II match on October 17, 2026, kick‑off at 16:00. FC Ajka enter this fixture as the slight favourites with a 40% win probability, while Bvsc‑Zuglo have a 30% chance and the draw also stands at 30%.

Team Form

FC Ajka have produced mixed results in their last five outings (W‑D‑L‑W‑L). The 3‑4 away loss to Tiszakecske FC on October 10 is the most recent result, but a 1‑0 home win against Aqvital Csakvari TK on September 19 shows they can be solid at home. Overall, from the five matches they recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats, scoring six goals and conceding nine.

Bvsc‑Zuglo are in a rough patch, winning only one of their last five matches (L‑W‑L‑D‑L). The 1‑2 defeat at Szentlorinc SE on September 20 continued their poor run, and a 0‑1 home loss to Nagykanizsai TE the week before added to the worries. The solitary victory came away at Diosgyori VTK (2‑0), but with three losses and a draw in the other four, their recent form is clearly worse than the hosts' .

Head‑to‑Head Record

In the overall history between the two sides, away wins dominate: 4 wins for the visiting team, only 1 home win and 2 draws. Bvsc‑Zuglo have therefore been the more successful side in this matchup, despite the venue. The most recent clash was a Cup tie on September 12, 2026, which ended in a 2‑2 draw at FC Ajka's ground. Earlier NB II meetings include a 0‑2 home loss for FC Ajka and a 4‑0 home win for Bvsc‑Zuglo, underlining the visitors' historical edge.

League Table Positions

FC Ajka sit 6th in the NB II overall standings with 14 points from 8 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). At home they are ranked 7th with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 5 games. Bvsc‑Zuglo do not appear in the available league table snapshot (top 12 overall, top 8 home/away), suggesting they are lower down the division. This gap reinforces the hosts' favourite tag.

Win Probability: FC Ajka or Bvsc‑Zuglo?

After weighing all available data, the outcome probabilities are:
FC Ajka win: 40%
Draw: 30%
Bvsc‑Zuglo win: 30%

FC Ajka are given the highest chance thanks to a superior league position (6th vs unplaced), better recent form (two wins in five versus one), and home advantage (3 home wins this season). Bvsc‑Zuglo's dreadful run of one win in five and their lower‑table status reduce their likelihood, despite a dominating historical head‑to‑head. A draw is a realistic outcome – two of the last five H2H meetings ended level and both teams have drawn recently.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture at the time of writing. The prediction therefore relies solely on statistical indicators. Given FC Ajka's slightly more consistent form, home strength, and higher standing, they are the more likely winners. However, the draw carries almost as much probability and Bvsc‑Zuglo cannot be dismissed entirely based on past dominance. A cautious pick would be a home win or draw, with a narrow scoreline expected.