FC Bihor Oradea - ASC Bacau prediction 11 October 2026

Our FC Bihor Oradea vs ASC Bacau prediction for this Liga II match on Oct 11 at 13:45 is that FC Bihor Oradea enter as favorites, with a calculated 48% win probability. The game takes place at Stadionul Iuliu Bodola in Oradea, where the home side will look to capitalize on their strong head-to-head record against an ASC Bacau team that has been tough to beat on the road.

Team Form

FC Bihor Oradea's recent form has been inconsistent, with their last five results reading L, W, L, D, W. In their most recent outing on Sep 20, they lost 3-2 away to CSM Ramnicu Valcea. Prior to that, they secured an impressive 3-0 home win against CSA Steaua on Sep 12. Their home form has been a bright spot, with a 4-0 victory over Stefanestii de Jos on Aug 29 demonstrating their attacking potential at Stadionul Iuliu Bodola.

ASC Bacau come into this match with slightly more stable form, recording D, D, W, W, L in their last five. They drew 1-1 away to Otelul Galati in a friendly on Oct 3, and played out a 2-2 home draw with FC Cetate Suceava on Sep 19. A notable result was their 1-0 away win at CSM Metalul Resita on Sep 15, proving they can grind out results on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors FC Bihor Oradea, who have won the only previous meeting between these sides. That match took place on Sep 19, 2025, in Liga II, where FC Bihor Oradea secured a 2-0 home victory. With 1 home win, 0 draws, and 0 away wins in the H2H, the historical data points to a clear advantage for the hosts.

League Table Positions

ASC Bacau currently sit 7th in the overall Liga II standings with 15 points from 8 matches, having recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 loss. Their goal difference stands at +11 (19 scored, 8 conceded). FC Bihor Oradea are not listed in the top 12 of the available standings data, suggesting they are further down the table. However, ASC Bacau's away form is not reflected in the provided away standings, though their home record is strong: 4th in the home table with 11 points from 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses).

Win Probability: FC Bihor Oradea or ASC Bacau?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: FC Bihor Oradea has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and ASC Bacau has a 24% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.82, draw 3.70, away 4.12) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for FC Bihor Oradea's 100% H2H record and home advantage. The adjustment reflects the historical dominance in this fixture, though ASC Bacau's solid overall league position and recent away results prevent a wider gap. FC Bihor Oradea are the more likely winners, but the draw is a significant possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see FC Bihor Oradea as the clear favorite. The best available odds show a home win at 1.82, a draw at 3.70, and an away win for ASC Bacau at 4.12. Other bookmakers offer similar ranges, with home odds as low as 1.70 and away odds as high as 4.50. Based on the stats, the H2H advantage, and the home factor, FC Bihor Oradea are the predicted winners, but the value may lie in the draw given ASC Bacau's resilience and the hosts' inconsistent form.