FC Trostianets - FC Chernihiv prediction 6 October 2026

FC Trostianets vs FC Chernihiv prediction for the Cup match on Oct 6, 2026 at 09:00. According to bookmakers, a draw is the most likely outcome with a 39% probability, while FC Chernihiv has a 35% chance and FC Trostianets a 26% chance.

Team Form

FC Trostianets come into this match with a mixed recent record: three draws, one loss, and one win in their last five outings. They drew 0-0 with Vorskla Poltava 2, 1-1 with Atlet Kyiv, and 1-1 with Hirnyk-Sport Gorishni Plavni, before losing 1-0 to Lokomotiv Kyiv. Their most recent match was a 2-0 home victory over HFC Penuel Kriviy Rih, which will give them some confidence.

FC Chernihiv have also struggled for consistency, recording two losses, one draw, one loss, and one win in their last five. They suffered a 3-2 defeat at Poltava FC, a 2-0 loss at Metalist Kharkiv, a 0-0 home draw with Inhulets, and a 3-2 loss at FK UCSA, before beating Nyva Ternopil 1-0 at home. Away from home, they have lost three of their last four, which could be a concern.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between FC Trostianets and FC Chernihiv. This will be the first competitive encounter between the two sides, making historical data unavailable for this prediction.

Win Probability: FC Trostianets or FC Chernihiv?

Based on the available odds and recent form, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• FC Trostianets win: 26%
• Draw: 39%
• FC Chernihiv win: 35%

The probabilities are derived from the bookmaker odds (home 3.30, draw 2.20, away 2.45), normalized to remove the margin. Both teams show inconsistent form, with no strong momentum to significantly alter the odds-based forecast. Home advantage is partially offset by FC Chernihiv's slightly better recent result, but the draw remains the standout outcome. FC Chernihiv holds a narrow edge if a winner emerges.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this Cup tie. One set lists a home win at 3.30, a draw at 2.20, and an away win at 2.45. Other bookies quote as high as 3.35 for the home side and as low as 1.85 for the away win. The draw is consistently priced as the most probable result. Based on the stats, a draw is the most likely outcome. However, if a team is to win, FC Chernihiv appears slightly more capable. Our prediction: a tight, low-scoring affair with a draw the safest bet.