FC Eindhoven - Jong PSV Eindhoven prediction 23 October 2026

Our FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV Eindhoven prediction for October 23, 2026, in the Netherlands 1 Eerste Divisie points to a home win. Based on the latest odds and team data, FC Eindhoven has a 42% chance of winning, while Jong PSV Eindhoven sits at 35%, making this a tightly contested match at 19:00.

Team Form

FC Eindhoven's recent form is inconsistent, recording one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches (W, L, D, L, L). Their most recent home game was a 0-1 defeat against SBV Vitesse Arnhem on Oct 16. Away, they suffered a heavy 3-0 loss at Almere City on Oct 9.

Jong PSV Eindhoven also shows mixed results with one win, two draws, and two losses (W, L, D, L, D). Their latest outing was a 1-1 away draw at Roda JC Kerkrade on Oct 9. At home, they managed a 3-1 win over Den Bosch on Sep 7.

Head-to-Head Record

FC Eindhoven completely dominates this fixture. In the last four meetings, they have four wins, zero draws, and zero losses against Jong PSV Eindhoven. The most recent clash on Mar 13, 2026, saw FC Eindhoven win 2-1 away. The last time they hosted on Dec 5, 2025, they secured a convincing 4-0 victory.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the provided top 12 of the 1 Eerste Divisie standings. The table is led by Heracles Almelo with 28 points from 11 games. The home and away form tables also do not feature either side, suggesting both are currently in the bottom half of the league.

Win Probability: FC Eindhoven or Jong PSV Eindhoven?

Analyzing the data, FC Eindhoven has a 42% chance of winning. The probability of a draw is 23%, and Jong PSV Eindhoven has a 35% chance of securing the away win.

This calculation starts with the inverse of the best available odds (home 2.08, draw 2.40, away 2.75), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, which gives a statistical baseline. We then adjusted these figures. The home win probability was increased to account for FC Eindhoven's perfect head-to-head record (4-0-0), their strong historical dominance, and the home advantage. Jong PSV's chance was slightly adjusted up from the raw odds conversion because FC Eindhoven's recent overall form (1W-1D-3L) is poor, showing vulnerability that the visitors could exploit. The draw probability reflects the low number of stalemates in their H2H history and current inconsistent form from both sides. Based on the stats, FC Eindhoven is more likely to win, but the match is far from a foregone conclusion.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see FC Eindhoven as the favorite. The best available home win odds for the match are 2.08, while a draw is priced at 2.40, and an away win for Jong PSV Eindhoven is at 2.75. Given FC Eindhoven's absolute dominance in head-to-head meetings, a home win is the most likely match outcome. However, their current shaky form adds risk, making the 'draw no bet' or simple home win markets potential considerations for betting tips.