FC Goa - Sporting Club Delhi prediction 28 October 2026

The FC Goa vs Sporting Club Delhi prediction for the Super League match on Oct 28 at 14:00 is that FC Goa has a 51% chance of winning, Sporting Club Delhi has 24%, and the draw is at 25%. Based on head-to-head dominance and home advantage, FC Goa enters this fixture as the clear favorite.

Team Form

FC Goa's recent form is mixed, with results reading L, W, L, D, L across all competitions. Their latest outings include a 1-2 loss to Al Qadsia (AFC Challenge League), a 2-1 away win against Fortis, and a 1-1 draw at home to Chennaiyin FC in the Super League. Sporting Club Delhi's form is notably poor; their last five results are L, L, L, D, L. Defeats to Mohun Bagan Super Giants (1-2), Bengaluru FC (2-3) and Odisha FC (1-2) highlight their struggles, with a goalless draw against Inter Kashi as their only recent point.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings, FC Goa leads with 3 wins to Sporting Club Delhi's 1, along with 1 draw. The overall H2H record across 14 matches is 7 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins. Key results: FC Goa won 1-0 in February 2026 and 2-0 in December 2024. Sporting Club Delhi's sole win in this sample was a 3-1 away victory back in January 2023. The 1-1 draw in January 2025 shows it can be tight, but FC Goa's head-to-head edge is undeniable.

League Table Positions

The Super League table provides important context. FC Goa (listed as 'Goa') are 10th with 1 point from 1 match, having scored 1 and conceded 1. Sporting Club Delhi are not present in the top 12 standings, implying a lower position. Top sides like Northeast United and Punjab FC sit on 7 points from 3 games, but this early in the season the table is still forming. The league position gap supports FC Goa as the stronger side.

Win Probability: FC Goa or Sporting Club Delhi?

The win probability is calculated using bookmakers' odds as a base, adjusted for form, head-to-head record, and home advantage. The raw odds (average best: 1.55 home, 4.00 draw, 5.70 away) imply probabilities of about 64%, 25%, 17% before removing the margin. After normalizing and factoring in recent form (FC Goa L-W-L-D-L vs Sporting Club Delhi L-L-L-D-L) and the overwhelming H2H advantage (7-3-4 all-time), FC Goa's chance is tempered to 51%, the draw sits at 25%, and Sporting Club Delhi holds a 24% chance. The home side has a clear edge, but inconsistent form makes the draw a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers across the market see FC Goa as strong favorites. The 1X2 odds range from 1.53 to 1.58 for a home win, with draws offered around 3.80 to 4.00, and an away win priced between 4.50 and 5.70. Based on the stats, the best betting tip here is a home win, but the odds do not offer huge value given FC Goa's recent stumbles. 'FC Goa or draw' could be a safer approach for cautious bettors. The total goals outlook is ambiguous with no clear trend from recent matches.