FC Holon Yermiyahu - Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem prediction 8 October 2026

FC Holon Yermiyahu vs Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem prediction for the League Alef match on Oct 8, 2026, at 17:40. FC Holon Yermiyahu enters as the favorite with a 55% win probability, while struggling Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem has just a 20% chance of an upset.

Team Form

FC Holon Yermiyahu's recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. They beat MK Kfar Saba 1928 (1-0) and Hapoel Marmorek (1-0) at home, but lost to Maccabi Ashdod (0-2) and Shimshon Tel Aviv (1-3). Their most recent outing was a 0-0 draw against Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon on Sep 4. The team kept two clean sheets in that span, showing defensive capability at home.

Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem, on the other hand, are in a deep crisis, losing all of their last five matches. They suffered heavy defeats: 0-4 at home to Hapoel Hadera, 0-1 at Irony Bet Shemesh, 1-3 at home to FC Jerusalem, 1-3 at Hapoel Herzliya, and 0-2 at home to Dimona. The team has conceded 13 goals in these five games while scoring only 2, highlighting severe problems at both ends of the pitch.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors FC Holon Yermiyahu. In 13 previous meetings, FC Holon Yermiyahu has won 7 times, Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem has won 3, and 3 matches ended in draws. The most recent encounter on Dec 31, 2025, saw FC Holon Yermiyahu win 2-1 away. In the last five H2H matches, FC Holon Yermiyahu won two, Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem won one, and two were draws, including two 0-0 stalemates when FC Holon Yermiyahu hosted.

Win Probability: FC Holon Yermiyahu or Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem?

Based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and head-to-head statistics, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: FC Holon Yermiyahu has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem has a 20% chance. The odds imply a home win probability of around 56%, but we slightly adjust for the visitors' poor form and the home team's mixed results. FC Holon Yermiyahu's home advantage and dominant H2H record make them clear favorites, while Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem's five-match losing streak suggests they will struggle to get a result.

Odds & Match Prediction

The average bookmaker odds for this League Alef clash are 1.60 for a FC Holon Yermiyahu victory, 3.60 for the draw, and 4.60 for an Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem win. These odds reflect the gulf in form and history between the two sides. Our FC Holon Yermiyahu vs Agudat Sport Nordia Jerusalem prediction is a home win, with the most likely outcome being a low-scoring affair given the home team's recent 1-0 wins and the away side's scoring struggles. However, a draw cannot be ruled out, as FC Holon Yermiyahu have drawn two of their last five and two of the last three H2H home matches ended 0-0.