Chivas Guadalajara U21 - FC Juarez U21 prediction 2 October 2026

Chivas Guadalajara U21 vs FC Juarez U21 prediction for the Liga MX U21 match on Oct 2, 2026, at 16:00. Based on our analysis, Chivas Guadalajara U21 has a 40% chance of winning, the draw stands at 35%, and FC Juarez U21 has a 25% chance. Bookmakers see Chivas as the favourite, but the high draw probability reflects the teams' recent form and head-to-head record.

Team Form

Chivas Guadalajara U21 come into this match with mixed results: two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. They lost 2-4 at home to Queretaro U21 on Sep 26, beat Club America U21 2-1 away on Sep 19, drew 0-0 with Universidad Nacional U21 at home on Sep 13, won 3-1 at Atletico San Luis U21 on Sep 5, and drew 2-2 at Pachuca U21 on Aug 29. The team has scored in four of those five matches but also conceded in four.

FC Juarez U21 are winless in their last five, with three draws and two defeats. They lost 0-1 at Club Leon U21 on Sep 27, drew 1-1 at home with Tigres UANL U21 on Sep 18, drew 1-1 at Santos Laguna U21 on Sep 13, drew 1-1 at home with Pachuca U21 on Sep 4, and lost 1-2 at Deportivo Toluca U21 on Aug 30. Juarez have found the net in four of those five games but have also failed to keep a clean sheet in any of them.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favours Chivas Guadalajara U21, who have one win and three draws from four meetings, while FC Juarez U21 have never won. The most recent clash, on May 10, 2026, ended in a 0-0 stalemate. The only victory came on Aug 16, 2025, when Chivas won 2-0 at home. Three of the four encounters have finished as draws, highlighting how tight these contests tend to be.

League Table Positions

In the overall Liga MX U21 standings, Chivas Guadalajara U21 sit 6th with 15 points from 9 matches (5 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses). FC Juarez U21 are 10th with 13 points (4 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses). At home, Chivas have struggled with a record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses in 4 games. Juarez's away form reads 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses from 4 trips. Both sides have been inconsistent, but Chivas hold a slight edge in the table and have a stronger away record than Juarez do on the road.

Win Probability: Chivas Guadalajara U21 or FC Juarez U21?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Chivas Guadalajara U21 40%, draw 35%, FC Juarez U21 25%. These numbers start from the bookmaker odds (averaging two sets: 2.38/2.10/3.80 and 1.92/3.15/3.55) and are adjusted for team form and head-to-head history. Chivas' better recent results and unbeaten H2H record give them the edge, but their poor home form and Juarez's tendency to draw keep the draw probability high. Overall, Chivas are the more likely winner, but a stalemate is a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds. One bookmaker prices a home win at 2.38, the draw at 2.10, and an away win at 3.80. Another has Chivas at 1.92, the draw at 3.15, and Juarez at 3.55. The first set sees the draw as the most probable result, while the second favours a home victory. Based on the stats, our prediction leans towards a low-scoring affair with a draw or a narrow Chivas win. The head-to-head record and both teams' recent scoring patterns suggest under 2.5 total goals could also be a valuable betting angle.