San Diego Wave Women - Kansas City Women prediction 19 September 2026

The San Diego Wave Women vs Kansas City Women prediction for this NWSL Women match on Sep 19 at 02:00 points to a tight contest. Based on our win probability analysis, San Diego Wave Women have a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 31%, and Kansas City Women have a 27% chance.

Team Form

San Diego Wave Women come into this match in strong form. Their last five results are W, L, W, W, D. In their most recent match on Sep 12, they secured a 2-1 home victory against North Carolina Courage Women. Prior to that, they suffered a 0-1 away loss to Seattle Reign FC Women on Sep 07. Overall, they have scored 8 goals in their last five matches.

Kansas City Women's recent form shows D, W, W, D, L. Their latest outing was a 2-2 home draw with Orlando Pride Women on Sep 12. Before that, they won 2-1 away against Bay FC Women on Sep 05. They have found the net 9 times across their last five games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is limited but competitive. In their last two meetings, Kansas City Women have the edge with 1 win, while San Diego Wave Women have 0 wins, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent clash on Jul 18 saw a 2-2 draw when Kansas City Women hosted. The previous encounter on Nov 02, 2025, ended in a 2-1 home win for Kansas City Women.

League Table Positions

In the overall NWSL Women standings, San Diego Wave Women sit in 4th place with 42 points from 24 matches (13 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses). They have scored 34 goals and conceded 27. Kansas City Women are 7th with 38 points from 24 matches (11 wins, 5 draws, 8 losses), scoring 39 and conceding 34. The 4-point gap highlights San Diego Wave Women's slightly more consistent campaign.

Looking at home and away splits, San Diego Wave Women's home record is 5th best with 22 points from 13 games (7 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses). Kansas City Women's away form is not in the top 8, indicating potential vulnerability on the road.

Win Probability: San Diego Wave Women or Kansas City Women?

Our calculated win probabilities for this match are: San Diego Wave Women win 42%, draw 31%, Kansas City Women win 27%. This assessment uses the available bookmaker odds as a base, then adjusts for the superior recent form of San Diego Wave Women (three wins in their last four home games), their higher league position, and the home advantage. Kansas City Women's stronger head-to-head record and solid away win at Bay FC Women are factored in, but San Diego Wave Women's overall consistency gives them the edge. The draw probability is notably high, reflecting the competitive nature of this fixture.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match show San Diego Wave Women as the favorite. The best available odds are: home win at 2.60, draw at 2.25, and away win at 3.40. The low odds on the draw suggest bookmakers see a very tight game. Based on the stats, form, and home advantage, San Diego Wave Women are the more likely winners, but a draw is a significant possibility. Our prediction is a narrow home win or a score draw.