Aragvi Dusheti - FC Odishi 1919 Lazika Zugdidi prediction 16 September 2026

The Aragvi Dusheti vs FC Odishi 1919 Lazika Zugdidi prediction for the Sep 16 Erovnuli 2 match points to a home-side advantage. Aragvi Dusheti are clear favorites with a 45% win probability, while a draw is at 33% and an away win stands at only 22%. The kick‑off at Tsentraluri Stadioni in Khelvachauri is set for 17:00.

Team Form

Aragvi Dusheti’s last five outings across all competitions show one win, two draws, and two losses (W‑D‑D‑L‑L). Their most recent result was a 3‑1 away defeat to Merani Martvili on Sep 12, preceded by a 4‑3 home loss to Shturmi. Earlier they drew 1‑1 at Kolkheti Poti, drew 0‑0 at Gagra in the Cup, and beat Gori 1‑0 at home on Aug 22. The home side have been inconsistent of late, but they still picked up seven points from the last 15 available.

FC Odishi 1919 Lazika Zugdidi are in poor shape, with four straight losses and one draw in their last five matches (D‑L‑L‑L‑L). They failed to score in three of those games: a 2‑0 defeat at Shturmi, a 3‑0 loss at Samtredia, and a 0‑0 draw at Merani Martvili. The 2‑3 home reverse to Gori and a 0‑1 home loss to Sioni Bolnisi complete a run where they have taken just one point from a possible 15. With only one goal scored in four of those matches, the away side are struggling for form.

Head‑to‑Head Record

In the four previous meetings, Aragvi Dusheti have won one, drawn one, and lost two to FC Odishi 1919 Lazika Zugdidi. The most recent encounter on Jun 13 this season ended 1‑1 in Zugdidi. Before that, Aragvi Dusheti claimed a 2‑1 home win on Apr 22. The two fixtures in 2025 both went the way of Odishi: a 4‑1 home victory on Aug 27 and a 4‑2 away success on Mar 27. The head‑to‑head records show an even split recently, with the last home meeting going to Aragvi Dusheti.

League Table Positions

Aragvi Dusheti sit 7th in the Erovnuli 2 with 32 points from 25 matches (9 wins, 5 draws, 11 defeats, 28 goals scored, 35 conceded). FC Odishi 1919 Lazika Zugdidi are one place below in 8th with 28 points – a four‑point gap – from 7 wins, 7 draws, 11 losses, and a goal difference of 27:36. At home, Aragvi Dusheti are strong: 6th in the home table with 22 points from 12 games (7 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses; 19:18 goals). FC Odishi’s away record is poor – 6th in the away table with only 11 points from 13 trips (3 wins, 2 draws, 8 losses; 10:22 goals). This contrast underlines the home team’s edge.

Win Probability: Aragvi Dusheti or FC Odishi 1919 Lazika Zugdidi?

Based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and the league table, Aragvi Dusheti have a 45% chance of winning, the draw is rated at 33%, and FC Odishi 1919 Lazika Zugdidi have only a 22% chance. The odds imply a home‑win probability of about 41%, but that figure is adjusted upward because Aragvi Dusheti’s home form (7 wins in 12) is far superior to Odishi’s away form (3 wins in 13) and the visitors are in a dreadful losing streak. The draw remains a distinct possibility given the closeness of the overall table positions, but the most likely outcome is a home victory.

Aragvi Dusheti vs FC Odishi 1919 Lazika Zugdidi Prediction

Bookmakers see Aragvi Dusheti as the favorite: the best available odds are around 1.91–1.95 for a home win, 2.18–2.25 for a draw, and 3.60–3.70 for an away win. The market therefore backs a home success. Considering that Aragvi Dusheti are solid at home and FC Odishi 1919 Lazika Zugdidi are out of form, the stats support a prediction of a home win. However, the 33% draw probability suggests a tight contest could also end level. A 1‑0 or 2‑1 win for the hosts looks the smartest betting tip based on all available data.