Casa Pia - FC Porto prediction 12 September 2026
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Estrela AmadoraCasa PiaAlpendoradaCasa PiaCasa PiaSanta ClaraEstoril PraiaCasa PiaCasa PiaFC PortoVitoria GuimaraesCasa PiaCasa PiaMoreirenseGil VicenteCasa PiaCasa PiaBenficaMaritimoCasa PiaLeixoesCasa PiaCB FeirenseCasa PiaCasa PiaSCU TorreenseSCU TorreenseCasa PiaCasa PiaRio AveGil VicenteFC PortoFC PortoPSV EindhovenReal BetisFC PortoMaritimoFC PortoDeportivo La CorunaFC PortoFC PortoBenficaCasa PiaFC PortoFC PortoManchester CityFC PortoMoreirenseAcademico ViseuFC PortoFC PortoAroucaRio AveFC PortoFC PortoAlvercaFC PortoAston VillaGil VicenteFC Porto- 9Henrique AraรบjoF
- 43David SousaD
- 95Ivan MandiฤG
- 75Pedro RosasD
- 70Joรฃo Pedro Seno Luรญs RรชgoM
- 3KalyD
- 11M. El BoukammiriM
- 16SilviM
- 77B. PauwelsM
- 80L. OforiM
- 18GeraldesD
- 90Cassiano
- 1P. Sequeira
- 4Joรฃo Goulart
- 8Gabi Pereira
- 17E. Maurin
- 19K. Prieto
- 10Rochinha
- 98JP
- 21A. Zouin
- 20A. Jatta
- 24S. Pรฉrez
- 59Abdu Dafe
- 11Pepรช AquinoF
- 10Gabri VeigaM
- 19Andrรฉ SilvaF
- 13P. RosarioM
- 16Hwang In-BeomM
- 5J. BednarekD
- 20Alberto BaioD
- 99Diogo CostaG
- 74Francisco MouraD
- 7WilliamF
- 4J. KiwiorD
- 17Borja Sainz
- 22A. Varela
- 42S. Fofana
- 52Martim Fernandes
- 3D. Prpiฤ
- 18N. Pรฉrez
- 14Clรกudio Ramos
- 33Souza
- 22J. Afonso
- 37Gabriel Mec
- 6T. Silva
- 29S. Gimรฉnez
Casa PiaFC PortoCasa PiaFC PortoFC PortoCasa PiaCasa PiaFC PortoFC PortoCasa PiaFC PortoCasa PiaFC PortoCasa PiaCasa PiaFC Porto| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting Lisbon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela Amadora | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 |
Casa Pia vs FC Porto Prediction (Sep 12, 17:00)
Casa Pia vs FC Porto prediction for September 12, 17:00 in the Primeira Liga. FC Porto enters as the heavy favorite, with a calculated win probability of 75% based on odds, form, and league standings. The match will be played at Estรกdio Pina Manique in Lisbon.
Team Form
Casa Pia's recent form is poor: in their last five Primeira Liga matches, they have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. They failed to score in four of those games, including a heavy 0-7 defeat to Benfica. Their only positive result was a 0-0 draw against Vitoria Guimaraes on September 6.
FC Porto, on the other hand, have won all five of their opening league matches this season, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 1. They have recorded clean sheets in four of those five wins, with victories over Moreirense (2-1), Academico Viseu (3-0), Arouca (2-0), Rio Ave (2-0), and Alverca (2-0).
Head-to-Head Record
In the last seven meetings between these sides, FC Porto have won 5, Casa Pia have won 1, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent fixture, on February 2, 2026, saw Casa Pia pull off a 2-1 home victory. However, FC Porto had won the previous four encounters by a combined score of 11-1.
- Feb 02, 2026: Casa Pia 2-1 FC Porto
- Aug 24, 2025: FC Porto 4-0 Casa Pia
- Apr 12, 2025: Casa Pia 0-1 FC Porto
- Dec 02, 2024: FC Porto 2-0 Casa Pia
- Dec 09, 2023: FC Porto 3-1 Casa Pia
League Table Positions
FC Porto sit top of the Primeira Liga with a perfect record of 5 wins from 5 matches, 15 points, and a goal difference of +10 (11 scored, 1 conceded). Casa Pia do not appear in the top 12 of the league table, indicating a difficult start to the campaign.
Win Probability: Casa Pia or FC Porto?
Based on the available odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match: FC Porto win โ 75%, draw โ 20%, Casa Pia win โ 5%.
The bookmaker odds imply an away win probability of around 60%, but FC Portoโs dominant form (five consecutive wins, 11-1 goals) and Casa Piaโs struggles (four losses in five, 0-7 vs Benfica) push the probability significantly higher. The only recent blemish is Casa Piaโs 2-1 victory in the last meeting, which gives them a slim chance.
Odds & Match Prediction
The average bookmaker odds from the data are: Home (Casa Pia) 9.95, Draw 3.05, Away (FC Porto) 1.55. The best available odds for an FC Porto win are as low as 1.24, while some bookmakers offer up to 1.70. Betting tips based on the stats point to an away win for FC Porto.
Our prediction: FC Porto to win. The visitors' quality, form, and historical dominance make them the clear favorites, and we expect them to secure all three points.
Casa Pia vs FC Porto โ FAQ
- Who will win Casa Pia vs FC Porto?
- FC Porto is heavily favored with a 75% win probability, while Casa Pia has just 5% and the draw is at 20%. Based on form, head-to-head record, and league standings, FC Porto is expected to win this Primeira Liga match.
- What is the win probability for FC Porto?
- FC Porto has a 75% chance of winning, calculated from bookmaker odds (implied ~60%) adjusted for their perfect start (5 wins, 11-1 goals) and Casa Pia's poor form (4 losses in 5 games).
- When is the Casa Pia vs FC Porto match?
- The match is on September 12, 2026, at 17:00 (UTC). It will be played at Estรกdio Pina Manique in Lisbon, as part of the Primeira Liga.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers offer odds ranging from 1.24 to 1.70 for an FC Porto win, 2.42 to 5.40 for a draw, and 9.00 to 11.00 for a Casa Pia win. The average odds are around 1.55 (away), 3.05 (draw), and 9.95 (home).
- What is the head-to-head record between Casa Pia and FC Porto?
- In 7 meetings, FC Porto have won 5, Casa Pia have won 1, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent match on February 2, 2026, ended in a 2-1 home win for Casa Pia.