FC St. Pauli - Karlsruher SC prediction 11 October 2026
FC St. Pauli
Karlsruher SC
SV Darmstadt 98FC St. PauliHannover 96FC St. PauliFC St. PauliKarlsruher SCFC St. PauliBorussia MonchengladbachEnergie CottbusFC St. PauliFC St. PauliVfL WolfsburgArminia BielefeldFC St. PauliFC St. PauliKaiserslauternRot-Weiss EssenFC St. PauliHolstein KielFC St. PauliFC St. PauliGreuther FurthFC St. PauliDeportivo La CorunaBournemouthFC St. PauliFC St. PauliHNK GoricaSV Babelsberg 03FC St. PauliMagdeburgKarlsruher SCKarlsruher SCSV Darmstadt 98FC St. PauliKarlsruher SCKarlsruher SCNurnbergKarlsruher SCEnergie CottbusHannover 96Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SCVfL WolfsburgPreussen MunsterKarlsruher SCKaiserslauternKarlsruher SCKarlsruher SCArminia BielefeldTSG 1899 HoffenheimKarlsruher SCKarlsruher SCInter MilanKarlsruher SCShimizu S-PulseKarlsruher SCSGV FreibergKarlsruher SCVfL BochumFC St. PauliKarlsruher SCFC St. PauliKarlsruher SCKarlsruher SCFC St. PauliFC St. PauliKarlsruher SCFC St. PauliKarlsruher SCKarlsruher SCFC St. PauliFC St. PauliKarlsruher SCKarlsruher SCFC St. PauliKarlsruher SCFC St. PauliKarlsruher SCFC St. PauliKarlsruher SCFC St. PauliFC St. PauliKarlsruher SCKarlsruher SCFC St. PauliFC St. PauliKarlsruher SCKarlsruher SCFC St. PauliKarlsruher SCFC St. PauliFC St. PauliKarlsruher SC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha Berlin | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 20:8 | +12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Nurnberg | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |  Kaiserslautern | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:14 | +9 | 16 |
| 5 |  Magdeburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:12 | +8 | 16 |
| 6 |  Heidenheim | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 |
| 7 | FC St. Pauli | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11:9 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  VfL Osnabruck | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |  Energie Cottbus | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Greuther Furth | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 |  VfL Bochum | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Dynamo Dresden | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Hannover 96 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:20 | -9 | 8 |
| 18 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:18 | -10 | 8 |
FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC Prediction (Oct 11)
The FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC prediction for October 11, 2026, in Bundesliga 2 points to a home-side advantage based on the latest odds and form. FC St. Pauli are clear bookmakers' favorites at odds of 2.02, with an implied win probability around 44%. This match at Millerntor-Stadion kicks off at 12:30, and our betting tips weigh the head-to-head record, league table positions, and recent team form to deliver a data-backed forecast.
Team Form
FC St. Pauli's last five results show one win, three draws, and one defeat (D, D, W, D, L). The only win came at home against VfL Wolfsburg (1-0) on September 12. Recent league outings include draws against Energie Cottbus (1-1) and Arminia Bielefeld (2-2), plus a loss to Kaiserslautern (1-2). The team has scored 8 goals and conceded 8 in six league matches, indicating a balanced but inconsistent run.
Karlsruher SC enter this game with much weaker form (L, L, D, L, W). Their last five matches include a cup win at Preussen Munster (2-1) but heavy league losses: 0-1 at home to Nurnberg, 0-3 to Energie Cottbus, and a 2-5 defeat against VfL Wolfsburg. They managed a 2-2 draw at Hannover 96. With only one win in five, Karlsruher SC struggle on both ends of the pitch, conceding 11 goals in their last four league games.
Head-to-Head Record
The historical H2H record across all competitions stands at 6 FC St. Pauli wins, 5 draws, and 5 Karlsruher SC wins. The last five meetings:
- Jul 20, 2025 (Friendly): FC St. Pauli 6-1 Karlsruher SC
- Apr 6, 2024 (Bundesliga 2): Karlsruher SC 2-1 FC St. Pauli
- Oct 28, 2023 (Bundesliga 2): FC St. Pauli 2-1 Karlsruher SC
- May 28, 2023 (Bundesliga 2): FC St. Pauli 1-1 Karlsruher SC
- Nov 12, 2022 (Bundesliga 2): Karlsruher SC 4-4 FC St. Pauli
In competitive fixtures, FC St. Pauli have two wins, two draws, and one loss, suggesting a slight upper hand. The last match at Millerntor-Stadion ended 2-1 for the hosts.
League Table Positions
After six matchdays, FC St. Pauli sit 8th in the Bundesliga 2 table with 7 points (1 win, 4 draws, 1 loss, 8-8 goal difference). Karlsruher SC are outside the top 12 and significantly lower in the standings, reflecting a difficult season start. The gap in points and overall consistency gives FC St. Pauli a clear upper hand ahead of this fixture.
Win Probability: FC St. Pauli or Karlsruher SC?
Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head strength, and home advantage, the win probabilities are:
- FC St. Pauli win: 44%
- Draw: 33%
- Karlsruher SC win: 23%
These percentages are derived from the inverse of average bookmaker odds (2.02 home, 2.58 draw, 3.85 away) after removing the margin, then lightly adjusted for the poor away form of Karlsruher SC and FC St. Pauli's home ground factor. The data says FC St. Pauli are the side more likely to win, with a near double chance of victory over Karlsruher SC.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have released 1X2 odds with FC St. Pauli priced at 2.02, the draw at 2.58, and Karlsruher SC at 3.85. These odds reflect a confident home favorite status. Other listed odds range from 1.62 to 2.02 on the home win, while the draw stays around 2.58-2.62, and the away win up to 4.40. Based on the stats and the implied probability, the smart pick leans toward a home win or a low-scoring draw. The most likely full-time outcome is a victory for FC St. Pauli.
FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC โ FAQ
- Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?
- According to the odds and recent data, FC St. Pauli have a 44% chance of winning, the draw sits at 33%, and Karlsruher SC have a 23% probability. The hosts are clear favorites, but the high draw probability reflects both teams' inconsistent form.
- What is the win probability for FC St. Pauli?
- FC St. Pauli have a 44% chance to win this Bundesliga 2 match, as implied by bookmaker odds of 2.02. The figure is supported by their head-to-head advantage and Karlsruher SC's weak away results.
- When is the FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC match?
- The match takes place on October 11, 2026, at 12:30 (UK time) at Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg, Germany. It is a Bundesliga 2 contest in the 2026/27 season.
- What are the odds for FC St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?
- The current 1X2 odds show FC St. Pauli at 2.02, the draw at 2.58, and Karlsruher SC at 3.85. Other bookmakers have offered home odds between 1.62 and 2.02, with the draw around 2.60 and away odds up to 4.40.
- What is the head-to-head record between these teams?
- In all meetings, FC St. Pauli lead with 6 wins, Karlsruher SC have 5, and 5 matches ended in a draw. The last five clashes saw two St. Pauli wins, two draws, and one Karlsruhe win, including a 6-1 friendly victory for St. Pauli in July 2025.