FA Tartu Kalev - FCI Levadia Tallinn U19 prediction 10 October 2026

The FCI Levadia Tallinn U19 vs FA Tartu Kalev prediction for this Esiliiga B match on July 19, 2026, at 09:30 UTC points to a home win. Based on the latest odds, team form, and league standings, FCI Levadia Tallinn U19 enters the contest as the clear favorite with a 60% win probability, while FA Tartu Kalev faces an uphill battle at just 18%.

Team Form

FCI Levadia Tallinn U19 comes into this match in excellent shape. Their last five results show four wins and one loss (W-W-W-W-L). The most recent outings include a dominant 4-1 home victory over Tallinna Kalev 2, a 3-2 home win against Tammeka Tartu Reserves, and a 2-0 home success versus Johvi FC Phoenix. The only setback was a 4-2 away defeat to Parnu JK Vaprus U21 on June 15. At home, Levadia has been particularly strong, winning six of nine league games this season.

FA Tartu Kalev, in contrast, is struggling. Their last five matches produced just one win and four defeats (W-L-L-L-L). The sole positive was a 10-2 home thrashing of Tallinna JK Legion on July 12. Otherwise, they lost 3-2 at home to Johvi FC Phoenix, 3-1 away to Tabasalu Jk Charma, 3-2 away to JK Narva Trans II, and 4-3 at home to Viljandi Tulevik. With only three away wins all season, their road form is a major concern.

Head-to-Head Record

The two sides have met twice in the 2026 Esiliiga B campaign, with each team winning at home. On April 28, FCI Levadia Tallinn U19 secured a 3-1 victory. FA Tartu Kalev responded on May 29 with a 2-0 home win. The head-to-head record stands at one win apiece and no draws, highlighting the importance of home advantage in this fixture.

League Table Positions

FCI Levadia Tallinn U19 sits 6th in the overall standings with 32 points from 19 matches (10 wins, 2 draws, 7 losses). FA Tartu Kalev is 8th with 25 points (8 wins, 1 draw, 10 losses). The home/away splits further underline the gap: Levadia boasts a 6-0-3 home record (18 points from 9 games), while Tartu Kalev has managed only 3 wins and 7 losses on the road (9 points from 10 away games).

Win Probability: FCI Levadia Tallinn U19 or FA Tartu Kalev?

After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are:

• FCI Levadia Tallinn U19 win: 60%
• Draw: 22%
• FA Tartu Kalev win: 18%

The calculation starts with bookmaker odds (home 1.77, draw 4.57, away 3.78), which imply a 53.9% home win chance after removing the margin. That base is then adjusted upward due to Levadia's superior recent form (four wins in five), dominant home record, and Tartu Kalev's poor away form (four straight away losses). The H2H evenness prevents an even higher home probability, but the overall picture strongly favors the hosts.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see FCI Levadia Tallinn U19 as the favorite, with best odds around 1.70–1.77 for a home win. The draw is priced between 2.78 and 4.57, while an away win for FA Tartu Kalev ranges from 3.30 to 3.78. These odds reflect the gap in quality and current momentum. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a home victory for FCI Levadia Tallinn U19. The team’s attacking output (48 goals in 19 games) and Tartu Kalev’s defensive frailties on the road (29 conceded in 10 away matches) point toward a match with goals, but the final result should favor the hosts.