Fenerbahce - Goztepe prediction 31 October 2026

Our Fenerbahce vs Goztepe prediction for the Super League match on Oct 31 at 16:00 focuses on the clear favorite — Fenerbahce has a 67% win probability. Played at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium in Istanbul, this clash sees the hosts riding strong form and a dominant head-to-head record against a Goztepe side sitting mid-table.

Team Form

Fenerbahce's recent outings show a W-W-L-W-D pattern across their last five fixtures. At home, they thrashed Alanyaspor 3-0 in the Super League on Oct 17 and drew 2-2 with Slavia Praha in the UEFA Champions League on Oct 20. A heavy 6-0 away defeat to Aston Villa on Oct 14 is a noticeable blemish, but they bounced back with a 3-0 win at Caykur Rizespor. The squad has scored 22 goals in 8 league games, the joint-highest in the division alongside Amed Sportif Faaliyetler.

Goztepe enters this match in decent touch, with results reading D-D-W-W-W. They enjoyed a 2-0 home victory over Corum Belediyespor on Oct 25 and impressive away wins at Kocaelispor (2-1) and Eyupspor (4-0). With 19 goals scored in 9 Super League matches, they carry a genuine attacking threat, though their 16 goals conceded suggest defensive vulnerabilities.

Head-to-Head Record

Fenerbahce dominates the historical head-to-head record with 9 wins, 7 draws, and only 5 Goztepe victories. In recent meetings, the trend has been tight. The last two encounters both ended in draws: a 1-1 stalemate at Fenerbahce on Jan 25, 2026, and a 0-0 draw at Goztepe on Aug 16, 2025. However, the clash before that saw Fenerbahce secure a 3-2 home win on Jan 26, 2025, and they also notched a 2-0 home victory in April 2022.

League Table Positions

Fenerbahce sits 3rd in the Super League with 16 points from 8 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their goal difference of +16 (22 scored, 6 conceded) highlights their firepower. In the home standings, they are 6th with 9 points from 4 games, having scored 16 and conceded just 4 at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium.

Goztepe occupies 10th place with 12 points from 9 games (3 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). Their away form is stronger — ranked 4th in the away table with 8 points from 5 trips, bagging 13 goals on the road. The 7-point gap between the sides reflects Fenerbahce's superior consistency.

Win Probability: Fenerbahce or Goztepe?

Based on the available odds, form, and head-to-head data, we calculate Fenerbahce has a 67% chance of winning, the draw is at 22%, and Goztepe has an 11% win probability. The odds imply a home win likelihood around 70% before adjustments, but Goztepe's solid away form and two recent H2H draws slightly temper that projection. Fenerbahce's home scoring record and overall league position firmly tilt the balance in their favor.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers clearly see Fenerbahce as the favorite. The best available odds are 1.35 for a home win, with the draw priced at 2.70 and an away win at 6.00. Some bookies offer as low as 1.30 on Fenerbahce, emphasizing their expected dominance. Our Fenerbahce vs Goztepe prediction: a home win is the most likely outcome based on the stats. Goztepe's recent away goal-scoring run means a clean sheet is not guaranteed, but the hosts should have enough quality to secure all three points.