Ferencvarosi TC - SCU Torreense prediction 22 October 2026

The Ferencvarosi TC vs SCU Torreense prediction points towards a home victory in this UEFA Europa League fixture on October 22, 2026. The match at Groupama Arena kicks off at 17:45 local time, with the Hungarian side entering as the clear favorite. Based on our analysis, Ferencvarosi TC has a 62% chance of winning, while the draw is at 26%, and SCU Torreense has a 12% chance.

Team Form

Ferencvarosi TC's recent form shows a mix of results with a record of two wins and three draws in their last five matches (D, W, D, D, W). They secured an impressive 3-1 away victory against Celtic in the UEFA Europa League on September 17, alongside a 2-1 home win over Viktoria Plzen on October 15. Their last outing was a 1-1 draw at Kisvarda in NB I action.

SCU Torreense's last five matches yielded two wins, one draw, and two losses (L, L, W, D, W). In European competition, they suffered a 1-2 home defeat to Sunderland on October 15. Their league form in the Segunda Liga has been inconsistent, including a 1-0 loss at Tondela on October 10.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no historical head-to-head data available between Ferencvarosi TC and SCU Torreense, with the record showing 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins. This Groupama Arena clash will be the first competitive meeting between the two clubs.

League Table Positions

Ferencvarosi TC competes in the Hungarian NB I and the UEFA Europa League, bringing top-flight European experience. SCU Torreense plays in the Portuguese Segunda Liga. The gap in league pedigree and regular continental competition favors the home side, though exact table positions are not available in the provided data.

Win Probability: Ferencvarosi TC or SCU Torreense?

After a comprehensive analysis, the calculated win probabilities are: Ferencvarosi TC win at 62%, a draw at 26%, and an SCU Torreense win at 12%. These percentages are derived using the inverse of the available odds as a base, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for team form and the significant home advantage. Ferencvarosi TC’s stronger recent European results and the 23,700-capacity home support heavily influence the outcome. SCU Torreense's away struggles and lower-division status contribute to their underdog rating.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers strongly favor Ferencvarosi TC, with odds ranging from 1.36 to 1.70 for a home win. The draw is priced between 2.50 and 2.80, while an away victory for SCU Torreense sits as high as 10.00. The average odds of 1.55 for the home side confirm their status as the expected winner. Based on the stats, form, and available odds, the most probable match outcome is a Ferencvarosi TC victory.