3 de Noviembre - Fernando de la Mora prediction 10 October 2026

The 3 de Noviembre vs Fernando de la Mora prediction for October 10, 2026, in Paraguay's Segunda Division sees the bookmakers favoring a draw. Our probability model gives 3 de Noviembre a 33% chance of winning, a draw 38%, and Fernando de la Mora 29%. This betting preview covers team form, head-to-head record, league standings, and the best odds for this matchup.

3 de Noviembre vs Fernando de la Mora Prediction

The most probable outcome is a stalemate, with the draw at 38% probability. However, 3 de Noviembre’s recent home form makes them a slight favorite to take all three points (33%) over the visitors (29%). Read on for a detailed breakdown of all the key factors influencing this match.

Team Form

3 de Noviembre (Last 5 matches):

• Oct 3: Paraguari AC 1–0 3 de Noviembre (L)
• Sep 25: General Caballero JLM 1–3 3 de Noviembre (W)
• Sep 18: 3 de Noviembre 1–1 Guairena FC (D)
• Sep 12: Resistencia 1–2 3 de Noviembre (W)
• Sep 8: 3 de Noviembre 1–0 Sol de America (W)

With three wins, one draw, and one defeat, 3 de Noviembre have collected 10 points from their last five outings. They've scored 7 goals and conceded only 4, highlighting a solid defensive structure.

Fernando de la Mora (Last 5 matches):

• Oct 5: Fernando de la Mora 0–2 General Caballero JLM (L)
• Sep 28: Guairena FC 0–2 Fernando de la Mora (W)
• Sep 19: Fernando de la Mora 2–1 Resistencia (W)
• Sep 13: Sol de America 3–2 Fernando de la Mora (L)
• Sep 9: Fernando de la Mora 1–0 Deportivo Capiata (W)

The away side have managed three wins and two losses in their recent run. Although they found the net 7 times, they've conceded 6, suggesting potential defensive issues — especially on their travels, where they’ve one win and one loss in the last two away games.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these two sides was on July 3, 2026, in the Segunda Division. That match ended in a 2-2 draw, with both teams showing attacking intent. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for 3 de Noviembre, 1 draw, 0 wins for Fernando de la Mora.

League Table Positions

In the overall Segunda Division standings, Fernando de la Mora occupies 11th place with 34 points from 27 matches (9 wins, 7 draws, 11 losses, goals 30:37). 3 de Noviembre’s exact position is not listed in the available table data, but the standings indicate they may be lower mid-table. Fernando de la Mora’s away form sees them 8th in the away standings with 17 points from 13 away games (5 wins,2 draws,6 losses).

Win Probability: 3 de Noviembre or Fernando de la Mora?

After normalizing bookmaker odds (average home 3.00, draw 2.16, away 3.03) to remove the overround and adjusting for recent team form and home advantage, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• 3 de Noviembre win: 33%
• Draw: 38%
• Fernando de la Mora win: 29%

The draw holds the highest likelihood, reflecting both the bookmakers’ odds and the history of a draw in their only H2H. However, 3 de Noviembre’s strong recent run (three wins in five) and the home advantage give them a slightly better chance than the visitors. Fernando de la Mora’s inconsistent away performances keep their win probability below 30%.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ premath odds vary between home 2.95–3.05, draw 2.08–2.20, and away 2.95–3.10. The draw is the market’s favorite, priced as low as 2.08. Based on the stats, the match is exected to be tight and low-scoring. Our recommended betting tip is to back the draw or a home win with both teams to score likely. The most probable correct score is 1-1.