Guairena FC - Fernando de la Mora prediction 28 September 2026

Guairena FC vs Fernando de la Mora prediction for Sep 28, 2026 at 23:15 in Paraguay's Segunda Division. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Guairena FC has a 35% chance of winning, the draw is 33%, and Fernando de la Mora has a 32% chance. Guairena FC is the slight home favorite, but this match is close.

Team Form

Guairena FC come into this fixture in poor shape. Their last five Segunda Division results are D, L, L, L, L.

• Sep 18: 3 de Noviembre 1-1 Guairena FC
• Sep 12: Guairena FC 0-3 General Caballero JLM
• Sep 8: Paraguari AC 3-1 Guairena FC
• Sep 4: Resistencia 2-1 Guairena FC
• Aug 30: Guairena FC 0-1 Sol de America Villa Elisa

Fernando de la Mora have been more stable in recent matches. Their last five results are W, L, W, D, D.

• Sep 19: Fernando de la Mora 2-1 Resistencia
• Sep 13: Sol de America Villa Elisa 3-2 Fernando de la Mora
• Sep 9: Fernando de la Mora 1-0 Deportivo Capiata
• Sep 4: Independiente FBC Campo Grande 0-0 Fernando de la Mora
• Aug 29: Fernando de la Mora 1-1 Tacuary Asuncion

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record favors Guairena FC. In the H2H data, Guairena FC have 5 wins, Fernando de la Mora have 1 win, and there have been 4 draws.

• Jun 6, 2026: Fernando de la Mora 1-3 Guairena FC
• Jul 25, 2025: Guairena FC 5-2 Fernando de la Mora
• Apr 20, 2025: Fernando de la Mora 0-1 Guairena FC
• Nov 10, 2019: Guairena FC 2-1 Fernando de la Mora
• Jul 28, 2019: Fernando de la Mora 3-2 Guairena FC

League Table Positions

Fernando de la Mora are 10th in the overall Segunda Division table with 31 points after 25 matches (8 wins, 7 draws, 10 losses, 28 goals scored, 35 conceded). Guairena FC are not present in the provided top-12 overall, home, or away standings, so no direct table gap can be calculated for them from this data.

Win Probability: Guairena FC or Fernando de la Mora?

Based on the implied bookmaker odds and normalized to remove the margin, the early market roughly gave Guairena FC around 30%, draw around 35%, and Fernando de la Mora around 35%. After adjusting for the strong Guairena FC H2H edge and home advantage, but also factoring their poor recent form, the final win probability is: Guairena FC 35%, draw 33%, Fernando de la Mora 32%. The total is 100%. Who will win Guairena FC vs Fernando de la Mora? Based on the numbers, Guairena FC is the most likely winner at 35%, but the draw is a very realistic outcome.

Guairena FC vs Fernando de la Mora Prediction & Odds

The 1X2 odds show home win prices from 2.80 to 3.10, draw prices from 2.05 to 3.38, and away win prices from 2.05 to 2.82. Bookmakers are split: some make the draw the favorite, while others shorten Fernando de la Mora. Based on the stats, this looks like a tight match. The final prediction is Guairena FC to edge it, with the draw as the main alternative. Betting tips: a double chance on Guairena FC or draw is supported by H2H, while Fernando de la Mora's recent form supports a draw no bet or +0.5 approach.