Ferrymead Bays - Cashmere Technical prediction 23 October 2026

Ferrymead Bays vs Cashmere Technical prediction: The Southern League match on Jun 27, 2026, at 01:00 sees Cashmere Technical as the clear favorite with a 70% win probability. This preview breaks down the team form, head-to-head record, and win chances to help you make informed betting decisions.

Team Form

Ferrymead Bays come into this match with a poor recent record, having won just one of their last five outings (W1 D1 L3). They drew 0-0 with Christchurch United, lost 4-0 to Cashmere Technical, lost 2-0 to Northern AFC, lost 4-3 to Cashmere Technical in the Chatham Cup, and beat Wanaka 5-0. Their only win was against Wanaka, and they have struggled defensively, conceding 10 goals in the last five matches.

Cashmere Technical, on the other hand, are in strong form with three wins and two draws in their last five (W3 D2 L0). They drew 0-0 with Wanaka, thrashed Dunedin City Royals 9-0, beat Ferrymead Bays 4-0, drew 2-2 with Nomads United, and edged Ferrymead Bays 4-3 in the Chatham Cup. They have scored 19 goals in these five games, showing impressive attacking firepower.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Cashmere Technical. In 18 previous meetings, Ferrymead Bays have never won (0 wins), with 5 draws and 13 wins for Cashmere Technical. The most recent encounters underline this dominance: Cashmere Technical won 4-0 on Jun 27, 2026, 4-3 in the Chatham Cup on Jun 12, 2026, 5-0 on Apr 2, 2026, and 2-1 in a friendly on Feb 24, 2026. The last Ferrymead Bays home win in this fixture remains elusive.

Win Probability: Ferrymead Bays or Cashmere Technical?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Cashmere Technical has a 70% chance of winning, a draw is at 20%, and Ferrymead Bays has just a 10% chance. This estimation is derived from the teams' recent form, the overwhelming head-to-head record (13-0-5 in favor of Cashmere Technical), and the fact that Cashmere Technical has been scoring freely while Ferrymead Bays have been leaking goals. Home advantage for Ferrymead Bays does little to offset the gulf in quality shown in recent meetings.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available for this Southern League fixture at the time of writing. However, based on the stats, Cashmere Technical is the clear favorite to win. Our Ferrymead Bays vs Cashmere Technical prediction is an away victory, with a likely high-scoring affair given both teams' recent matches. A correct score prediction of 3-1 to Cashmere Technical aligns with the form guide.