FH Hafnarfjodur Women - Stjarnan Women prediction 18 September 2026

The FH Hafnarfjodur Women vs Stjarnan Women prediction for their Premier League Women clash on Sep 18 at 16:30 points firmly toward a home victory. According to form, head-to-head data, and league standings, FH Hafnarfjodur Women enters as the favorite with a 65% win probability.

Team Form

FH Hafnarfjodur Women's last five results show a mixed run: W, L, D, W, L. They beat Thor Akureyri 2-1, lost 0-1 at home to Apollon Limassol in the Europa Cup, drew 2-2 at Valur, won 2-0 away at Apollon, and lost 0-1 at home to Vikingur. At home in the league, FH holds a strong 7-0-2 record, scoring 25 goals and conceding just 12.

Stjarnan Women come into this match with poorer recent form: L, L, W, L, D. They lost 1-2 at home to Vikingur, fell 2-3 away at Fram, beat Breidablik 2-0, lost 2-3 at IBV Vestmannaeyja, and drew 1-1 with Throttur. Their away record this season is disappointing: 2 wins, 0 draws, 6 losses in 8 trips, with only 11 goals scored and 19 conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record shows Stjarnan leading with 18 wins to FH Hafnarfjordur's 11, alongside 1 draw. However, the recent momentum has swung decisively. In the last five meetings, FH Hafnarfjordur Women won four and drew one. The most recent encounter ended 7-3 at home on Jul 21, 2026. Other results include a 2-1 away win on May 10, 2026, a 3-1 away victory in the League Cup on Feb 16, 2026, and a 4-3 away win on Oct 01, 2025. The only draw was 2-2 on Aug 21, 2025.

League Table Positions

FH Hafnarfjordur Women sits 2nd in the Premier League Women with 35 points from 17 games (11 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses). Their goal difference is +19 (40 scored, 21 conceded). Stjarnan Women are 5th with 25 points, an 8-1-8 record, and a goal difference of -3 (29 scored, 32 conceded). The home/away split tells an even clearer story: FH is the second-best home side (7-0-2, 21 points), while Stjarnan is the second-worst away team (2-0-6, 6 points).

Win Probability: FH Hafnarfjordur Women or Stjarnan Women?

After removing the bookmaker margin from the odds (home 1.48, draw 4.55, away 4.65) and adjusting for recent form, H2H, and home/away performance, the outcome probabilities are:

• FH Hafnarfjordur Women win: 65%
• Draw: 18%
• Stjarnan Women win: 17%

The unadjusted fair probabilities based on odds implied 60.9% for a home win, 19.8% for the draw, and 19.3% for the away win. However, FH’s dominant recent H2H (4 wins in last 5), excellent home league results (7-0-2), and Stjarnan’s terrible away form (2-0-6) justify the uplift to 65%. The draw probability remains just below 1 in 5, and an away win looks highly unlikely. The most probable outcome is a home victory for FH Hafnarfjordur Women.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced the home win at 1.48, the draw at 4.55, and the away win at 4.65. These odds reflect FH Hafnarfjordur Women’s strong favoritism. Based on all available stats, FH Hafnarfjordur Women is the clear pick to win this match. A betting tip of FH Hafnarfjordur Women to win aligns with the probability model, though punters should always consider the short price. The match is expected to see goals, given FH has netted 7, 2, 3, and 4 goals in recent H2H wins, but the safer prediction remains a straightforward home success.