Fiji Women vs New Caledonia Women prediction for the Friendly International Women match on Sep 29, 2026. Based on the latest odds and both teams' recent form, Fiji Women enter as the favorites with a 60% win probability, while New Caledonia Women have just an 18% chance of causing an upset.
Fiji Women are in a deep crisis, losing their last five matches in a row. They have scored only 3 goals in that run while conceding 12. The defeats include a 0-1 loss to Solomon Islands Women (Sep 23), a 0-1 loss to Vanuatu Women (Sep 20), and a heavy 0-4 defeat to Papua New Guinea Women (Sep 17). Earlier in June, they lost twice to Hong Kong Women (1-3 and 2-3). The home side has failed to win any of those fixtures and struggles to find the net.
New Caledonia Women are in equally poor shape, losing all four of their recent matches. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 14. Their last four results: a 0-1 home loss to Solomon Islands Women (Sep 26), a 0-5 thrashing by Vanuatu Women (Sep 23), a 1-4 home defeat to Papua New Guinea Women (Sep 20), and a 2-4 away loss to Indonesia Women (Apr 15). The away side has shown defensive frailties, especially on the road.
There is no head-to-head history between Fiji Women and New Caledonia Women. This will be the first official meeting between the two nations in women's football.
After analyzing the odds and adjusting for the teams' dreadful form, we calculate the following win probabilities: Fiji Women have a 60% chance of winning, the draw stands at 22%, and New Caledonia Women have an 18% chance. The bookmakers' odds imply a much higher probability for Fiji (68.5%), but both sides are on long losing streaks, which reduces the favorite's edge. Home advantage and slightly less embarrassing scorelines give Fiji the nod, but a draw is a real possibility.
The pre-match 1X2 odds are: Fiji Women win at 1.30, draw at 5.00, and New Caledonia Women win at 6.50. Bookmakers clearly see Fiji Women as the strong favorite. Our Fiji Women vs New Caledonia Women prediction: based on the stats, Fiji Women are the most likely winners, but expect a low-scoring affair given both teams' attacking woes. A cautious 1-0 or 2-0 home victory is the most probable outcome.