Fiji Women - Papua New Guinea Women prediction 17 September 2026

The Fiji Women vs Papua New Guinea Women prediction points to an away win in this Friendly International Women clash on September 17, 2026 at 07:00. Based on the latest odds and recent form, Papua New Guinea Women enter the match as the favorite with a 52% win probability, while Fiji Women have a 26% chance of victory and the draw sits at 22%.

Team Form

Fiji Women's recent form is concerning. They have lost four of their last five matches (L, L, L, L, W), conceding 12 goals in those defeats. Their only win came against Vanuatu Women on March 5, 2026. The heavy 5-0 loss to New Zealand Women and back-to-back defeats against Hong Kong Women highlight defensive vulnerabilities.

Papua New Guinea Women show a more balanced record with three wins in their last five outings (L, W, L, W, W). They secured a 1-0 victory over Fiji Women in their most recent head-to-head meeting and recorded dominant wins against Singapore Women and Seychelles Women. Their only recent loss came against a strong New Zealand Women side.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is limited but decisive. In their only previous meeting, Papua New Guinea Women defeated Fiji Women 1-0 on March 8, 2026, in a World Cup Women qualifier. That result gives Papua New Guinea Women a psychological edge and a 100% winning record in this fixture.

League Table Positions

This is a Friendly International Women match, so no league table data is available. However, the recent competitive encounters in World Cup Women qualifiers provide context: Papua New Guinea Women outperformed Fiji Women in that campaign, as evidenced by their direct 1-0 win.

Win Probability: Fiji Women or Papua New Guinea Women?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Papua New Guinea Women have a 52% chance of winning, Fiji Women sit at 26%, and the draw is 22%. These percentages are derived from the bookmaker odds (inverse of the odds, normalized to remove the margin) and adjusted for Papua New Guinea Women's superior recent form and their head-to-head victory. Fiji Women's poor defensive record and four losses in five matches reduce their chances significantly, while the draw remains a plausible outcome given the low-scoring nature of their previous encounter.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Papua New Guinea Women as the clear favorite. The best available odds are: Fiji Women win at 5.50, draw at 2.38, and Papua New Guinea Women win at 1.83. These odds imply a strong probability of an away victory. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Papua New Guinea Women win, potentially with under 2.5 total goals given the 1-0 scoreline in their last meeting.