The Fiji Women vs Solomon Islands Women prediction for the Sep 23, 2026 Friendly International Women match is a closely contested affair. According to our probability analysis, a draw holds a 38% chance, making it the most likely outcome. Fiji Women are slight favourites in the odds but their recent form raises doubts about their ability to secure a win.
Fiji Womenโs recent results have been poor, losing all of their last five matches. They suffered a 0-1 home defeat to Vanuatu Women (Sep 20), a 0-4 home loss to Papua New Guinea Women (Sep 17), and away defeats to Hong Kong Women (1-3 on Jun 6 and 2-3 on Jun 3) and a heavy 0-5 loss to New Zealand Women (Apr 11). The team has failed to score in three of those five games and has conceded 13 goals in total.
Solomon Islands Women enter this match with a slightly better recent moment, having ended a two-game losing run with a 1-1 home draw against Vanuatu Women on Sep 17. Prior to that, they lost 1-2 away to Samoa Women (Mar 5) and 0-8 away to New Zealand Women (Mar 2). Their attack has been more productive than Fijiโs of late, scoring in two of the last three outings.
This will be the first official meeting between Fiji Women and Solomon Islands Women. No previous head-to-head data is available, making form and odds the primary indicators for this prediction.
Based on the available bookmaker odds, the inverse probabilities (corrected for the margin) give Fiji Women a starting chance of about 38.6%, the draw 36.0%, and Solomon Islands Women 25.4%. We then adjust for recent form: Fiji Women have lost five in a row, including a home defeat to Vanuatu, while Solomon Islands Women earned a draw against the same Vanuatu side just three days later. This adjustment reduces Fijiโs advantage and increases the likelihood of a draw. The final win probabilities are:
These figures show a draw as the most probable match outcome. Home advantage is not enough to offset Fiji Womenโs dreadful scoring record, while Solomon Islands Womenโs ability to hold Vanuatu to a draw indicates they can compete away from home.
Bookmakersโ odds from the provided preโmatch markets show Fiji Women as the narrow favourite, with average 1X2 odds around 2.28 for a home win, 2.45 for a draw, and 3.50 for an away win. For instance, one bookie offers 2.35 for Fiji, 2.50 for the draw, and 3.30 for Solomon Islands. The short draw price reflects the tight expected nature of the contest.
Taking into account both teamsโ struggles in front of goal and the high draw probability, our match prediction leans towards a stalemate. A lowโscoring draw, possibly 0-0 or 1-1, appears the most plausible result given the available data.