FK Mogila - FK Arsimi 1973 prediction 24 September 2026
FK Mogila
FK Arsimi 1973FK MogilaFK Arsimi 1973FK Arsimi 1973
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The FK Mogila vs FK Arsimi 1973 prediction for the North Macedonia Cup match on Sep 24 at 14:30 is clear: FK Arsimi 1973 enters as the overwhelming favorite with an 80% win probability. Bookmakers have priced the away side at extremely short odds, reflecting the gulf in class between the two teams.
Team Form
FK Arsimi 1973's recent form in the North Macedonia 1st League has been mixed. Over their last five matches, they have recorded one win, two draws, and two losses. Their most recent outing ended in a heavy 6-0 defeat away to FC Struga Trim Lum on Sep 21. Before that, they drew 2-2 at home against KF Shkendija 79 Tetovo and lost 2-0 at Vardar Skopje. A goalless home draw with Skopje and a 2-0 away win at KF Shkendija Haracine round out the sequence. No recent form data is available for FK Mogila.
Head-to-Head Record
There is no head-to-head history between FK Mogila and FK Arsimi 1973. The data shows zero previous meetings, so this cup tie will be the first competitive encounter between the two sides.
League Table Positions
League table information is not provided in the available data. However, FK Arsimi 1973 competes in the North Macedonia 1st League, while FK Mogila likely plays in a lower division, which explains the massive odds disparity.
Win Probability: FK Mogila or FK Arsimi 1973?
Based on the odds, team form, and the home/away factor, the win probabilities are as follows: FK Mogila has a 5% chance of winning, the draw is at 15%, and FK Arsimi 1973 has an 80% chance. The calculation starts with the inverse of the bookmaker odds (home 34.00, draw 5.50, away 1.14), normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusts for FK Arsimi 1973's inconsistent recent form and the home advantage for FK Mogila. Despite the slight downgrade, FK Arsimi 1973 remains the clear favorite to progress.
Odds & Match Prediction
The pre-match odds for the 1X2 market are: FK Mogila win at 34.00, draw at 5.50, and FK Arsimi 1973 win at 1.14. Bookmakers see FK Arsimi 1973 as the dominant force in this cup tie. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is an away win, though FK Arsimi 1973's recent wobbles suggest a low-scoring victory or even a potential draw cannot be completely ruled out. The prediction is FK Arsimi 1973 to win, but with caution given their form.
FK Mogila vs FK Arsimi 1973 โ FAQ
- Who will win FK Mogila vs FK Arsimi 1973?
- FK Arsimi 1973 is the overwhelming favorite to win. The win probabilities are 80% for FK Arsimi 1973, 15% for a draw, and just 5% for FK Mogila.
- What is the win probability for FK Arsimi 1973?
- FK Arsimi 1973 has an 80% chance of winning this match. This high probability is driven by the extreme odds (1.14 for an away win) and the likely difference in league levels, only slightly tempered by their recent mixed form of one win in five games.
- When is the FK Mogila vs FK Arsimi 1973 match?
- The match is scheduled for Sep 24 at 14:30 local time. It is a North Macedonia Cup fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The pre-match odds are: FK Mogila win 34.00, draw 5.50, and FK Arsimi 1973 win 1.14. These odds indicate a very high probability of an away victory.