FK Hegelmann Litauen - FK Kauno Zalgiris prediction 31 October 2026

The FK Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Kauno Zalgiris prediction for this A Lyga match on October 31, 2026, points firmly towards an away victory. FK Kauno Zalgiris enters the contest as the overwhelming favorite with a 66% win probability, while struggling FK Hegelmann Litauen has just a 13% chance of causing an upset. The draw stands at 21%.

Team Form

FK Hegelmann Litauen are in poor shape, failing to win any of their last five matches (L,L,D,D,L). They have managed just two draws and suffered three defeats, conceding 10 goals in that spell. Most recently, they lost 2-0 away to Transinvest and 4-1 at Zalgiris Vilnius. At home, they drew 1-1 with Suduva Marijampole and lost 3-1 to Baltija Panevezys.

FK Kauno Zalgiris show mixed but superior form with three wins in their last five (L,W,L,W,W). Their two losses came in the UEFA Conference League against Brighton (4-0) and Brann (4-1), but domestically they have been strong, winning 1-0 at Suduva Marijampole and 2-0 at Siauliai Futbolo Akademija. They also beat Minija Kretinga 3-0 in the Cup.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record heavily favors FK Kauno Zalgiris: 10 wins to FK Hegelmann Litauen's 4, with 7 draws. In the last five meetings, FK Kauno Zalgiris won three times (2-0, 5-0, 2-1) and the other two ended 1-1. FK Hegelmann Litauen have not beaten their opponents in any of those recent encounters, highlighting a clear psychological and tactical edge for the away side.

League Table Positions

FK Kauno Zalgiris sit top of the A Lyga with 54 points from 29 matches (15 wins, 9 draws, 5 losses, +37 goal difference). FK Hegelmann Litauen are 8th with just 26 points from 31 games (4 wins, 14 draws, 13 losses, -22 goal difference). The away team also boasts the best away record in the league (1st, 26 points from 14 games), while the home side ranks 8th in the home table with only 2 wins from 15 outings.

Win Probability: FK Hegelmann Litauen or FK Kauno Zalgiris?

After removing the bookmaker margin from the 1X2 odds, the implied probabilities are: FK Kauno Zalgiris win 66%, draw 21%, FK Hegelmann Litauen win 13%. These numbers are strongly supported by the form guide, head-to-head dominance, and the massive 28-point gap in the league table. FK Kauno Zalgiris' quality on the road and FK Hegelmann Litauen's inability to win at home make an away victory the most likely outcome by a wide margin.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds are: home win 6.60, draw 4.30, away win 1.35. Bookmakers clearly see FK Kauno Zalgiris as the favorite. Based on the stats, the final FK Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Kauno Zalgiris prediction is an away win for FK Kauno Zalgiris.