Gazalkent - FK Kokand 1912 prediction 16 September 2026

Our Gazalkent vs FK Kokand 1912 prediction for the Uzbekistan Cup match on Sep 16, 2026, gives a 40% probability of a draw after 90 minutes. Gazalkent and FK Kokand 1912 each sit at around 30% win probability, making this a tightly balanced cup tie. The match kicks off at 14:00 local time and pits a Pro League (second‑tier) home side against a Super League (top‑division) outfit.

Team Form

Gazalkent enter this cup clash with mixed results in the Pro League. Their last five outings show two wins, two defeats, and one draw:

• 0‑0 vs Turan Yaypan (Sep 11)
• 0‑1 vs FarDu Fergana (Aug 28)
• 4‑2 at Kattaqorgon (Aug 21)
• 0‑1 vs Olimpik Mobiuz (Aug 14)
• 3‑1 at BuxDU Buxoro (Aug 09)

That run includes two home losses without scoring, highlighting inconsistency at their own ground.

FK Kokand 1912 compete a level higher in the Super League and arrive on the back of a L-D-D-W-W form string:

• 1‑2 at Andijan (Sep 10)
• 1‑1 vs Dinamo Samarqand (Sep 05)
• 1‑1 vs FK Buxoro (Aug 24)
• 1‑0 at Bunyodkor (Aug 20)
• 2‑1 vs Lokomotiv Farm Tashkent (Aug 15)

They have lost only one of the last five and kept two clean sheets on the road, a solid base for a cup away match.

Head‑to‑Head Record

There are no previous recorded meetings between Gazalkent and FK Kokand 1912. This will be the first competitive encounter, so no historical advantage exists for either side.

League Table Positions

Although exact table positions are not available, the competition context is clear: FK Kokand 1912 ply their trade in the Super League (the top division of Uzbekistan), while Gazalkent feature in the Pro League (second tier). This divisional gap typically gives the visiting side a quality edge, even considering Gazalkent’s home status.

Win Probability: Gazalkent or FK Kokand 1912?

Based on the available odds, recent form, and the division difference, the match outcome probabilities are:

• Gazalkent win: 30%
• Draw: 40%
• FK Kokand 1912 win: 30%

We derived these figures by first averaging the inverse of bookmaker 1X2 odds (taking the two sensible sets: 3.00‑2.10‑2.75 and 3.00‑2.05‑2.72) to get implied probabilities near 28%‑41%‑31%, then adjusting for FK Kokand 1912’s higher‑league status and marginally better recent form. The adjustment slightly lifts FK Kokand 1912’s share to 30%, while the home team’s probability remains at 30%. Consequently, there is no clear outright favourite – a draw is the most likely scenario, but both sides stand equal chances of snatching a win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ pre‑match odds are available from multiple sources. The most common 1X2 quotes are home win at 3.00, draw at 2.05–2.10, and away win at 2.72–2.75. These prices highlight the market’s expectation of a tight, low‑scoring cup tie, with the draw priced shortest. Our prediction mirrors that view: based on the stats, the most probable match outcome is a draw. If one team is to edge it, FK Kokand 1912’s top‑flight pedigree and recent defensive solidity on the road make the away win slightly more plausible than a Gazalkent victory, but the numbers truly point to a stalemate.