FK Kokand 1912 - Mashal Muborak prediction 9 October 2026

FK Kokand 1912 vs Mashal Muborak prediction for the Super League match on Jul 17, 2026, at 15:00. Based on the stats, the draw is the most likely outcome with a 42% probability, while Mashal Muborak has a 40% chance of winning. FK Kokand 1912 enters as the home underdog with an 18% win probability.

Team Form

FK Kokand 1912's last five results show inconsistency: W, L, W, L, L. They beat Metallurg Bekabad 2-0 away in the Cup, lost 2-3 at home to AGMK Olmaliq, edged Bunyodkor 1-0 at home, then suffered heavy defeats – 0-4 at Neftchi and 1-2 at Qizilqum Zarafshon. Two wins in five, but three losses, including two on the road, highlight defensive issues.

Mashal Muborak's recent form is D, W, L, L, L. A 2-2 friendly draw at Gazalkent was followed by a 2-0 Cup win at Respublika FA. However, three consecutive losses – 1-2 vs Sogdiana (Cup), 1-3 at Olimpik Mobiuz (Cup), and 1-3 at Dinamo Samarqand (league) – expose vulnerability. Both teams are struggling for consistency, with Mashal winless in their last three competitive outings.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall, FK Kokand 1912 leads the H2H with 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses in 20 meetings. However, recent encounters favor Mashal Muborak. In the last five matches, Kokand managed only 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. The most recent two clashes were both won by Mashal: 1-0 at home in November 2025 and a stunning 4-0 away victory in June 2025. That 4-0 result at Kokand's ground is a significant psychological edge for the visitors.

Win Probability: FK Kokand 1912 or Mashal Muborak?

FK Kokand 1912 has an 18% chance of winning, the draw is at 42%, and Mashal Muborak has a 40% chance. These probabilities are derived from bookmaker odds (average: home 4.73, draw 1.96, away 2.44), adjusted for recent form and head-to-head trends. The odds imply a draw as the most likely single outcome, and the H2H data – especially Mashal's 4-0 away win – tilts the balance slightly toward the away side. Home advantage for Kokand is offset by their poor defensive record. The match is likely to be tight, with a draw or a narrow Mashal win the most realistic scenarios.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see the draw as the most probable result, with average odds of 1.96. Mashal Muborak is the favorite to win at 2.44, while FK Kokand 1912 is a long shot at 4.73. Based on the stats, a draw is the safest prediction, but Mashal's recent dominance in this fixture makes them a credible winner. Our final prediction: a low-scoring draw or a 1-0 away win for Mashal Muborak.