FK Mornar Bar - Jezero prediction 8 October 2026

The FK Mornar Bar vs Jezero prediction points to a home victory in this 1 CFL clash on Oct 8, 2026, at 17:00. FK Mornar Bar enters the match as the clear favorite with a 62% win probability, backed by dominant head-to-head form and a solid home record. Jezero faces an uphill battle, especially given their poor away results this season.

Team Form

FK Mornar Bar's recent form has been mixed: W, D, L, L, W in their last five outings. They thrashed Mladost DG 5-1 in a friendly, drew 1-1 at Decic Tuzi, then suffered back-to-back 0-1 defeats to Otrant Ulcinj and Sutjeska before bouncing back with a 2-0 home win over Bokelj Kotor. At home, they have collected 7 points from 4 matches (2W, 1D, 1L), scoring 4 and conceding only 2.

Jezero's form is worse: L, D, L, W, L. A 1-4 loss at Otrant Ulcinj, a 1-1 home draw with Bokelj Kotor, a 0-3 defeat at Buducnost Podgorica, a 5-2 home win over Arsenal Tivat, and a 1-2 loss at Decic Tuzi. Away from home, Jezero have lost all 3 league matches, scoring just 1 goal and conceding 8.

Head-to-Head Record

FK Mornar Bar dominates the overall H2H record with 11 wins, 9 draws, and only 4 Jezero victories in 24 meetings. The last five encounters underline this superiority: FK Mornar Bar won four and drew one. Most recently, on Aug 2, 2026, they played a 0-0 draw. Before that, FK Mornar Bar won 2-0 (May 24), 2-1 (Cup, May 6), 1-0 (Cup, Apr 22), and 2-0 (Apr 4). Jezero have not beaten FK Mornar Bar in any of the last five clashes.

League Table Positions

In the 1 CFL overall standings, FK Mornar Bar sit 5th with 12 points from 8 matches (3W, 3D, 2L, GF 8, GA 6). Jezero are 8th with 9 points (2W, 3D, 3L, GF 8, GA 11). The home table shows FK Mornar Bar in 5th with 7 points from 4 home games. Jezero's away form is the worst in the league: 0 points from 3 away matches, 1 goal scored, 8 conceded.

Win Probability: FK Mornar Bar or Jezero?

Based on odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, the win probabilities are: FK Mornar Bar 62%, draw 23%, Jezero 15%. Bookmaker odds (home 1.50, draw 3.60, away 6.00) imply a 60% chance for a home win, but FK Mornar Bar's historical dominance and Jezero's dreadful away record push that figure slightly higher. The draw remains a plausible outcome given FK Mornar Bar's occasional inconsistency, but a Jezero away win is highly unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds are: FK Mornar Bar win at 1.50, draw at 3.60, Jezero win at 6.00. Bookmakers clearly see FK Mornar Bar as the favorite. Based on the stats, the most probable match outcome is a home win. FK Mornar Bar's strong H2H record, home advantage, and Jezero's travel struggles all point to a FK Mornar Bar victory.