Kastrioti Kruje - Flamurtari Vlore prediction 16 September 2026

The Kastrioti Kruje vs Flamurtari Vlore prediction for the 1 Division match on Sep 16, 2026, sees the visitors as the favorites with a 44% win probability. Bookmakers and recent form both point towards Flamurtari Vlore, but a draw is also a strong possibility in this Albanian second-tier clash.

Team Form

Kastrioti Kruje have struggled for consistency, with their last five results reading L, D, L, W, L. They lost 2-1 to Pogradeci, drew 2-2 with Burreli, suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat to Pogradeci, beat Lushnja 4-1, and lost 1-2 at home to Luftetari Gjirokaster. That solitary win came away from home, and they have yet to play a home league match this season.

Flamurtari Vlore come into this game unbeaten in four of their last five (D, D, L, D, W). They drew 1-1 with Burreli, played out a 3-3 thriller at Besa Kavaje, lost 2-0 at Vllaznia Shkoder, drew 1-1 at home to Teuta Durres, and recorded an impressive 4-1 away win at Partizani Tirana. Their away form shows resilience, with only one loss in the last five road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record between these sides is evenly balanced at 3 wins each and 2 draws. However, recent meetings heavily favor Flamurtari Vlore. In the last five encounters, Flamurtari won three, Kastrioti Kruje won one, and one ended in a draw. The most recent clash on Mar 09, 2025, saw Flamurtari win 2-1 at home, and they also won 1-0 at Kastrioti in October 2024. Kastrioti’s last win over Flamurtari came back in May 2019.

League Table Positions

In the 1 Division standings, Kastrioti Kruje sit 9th with 1 point from 2 matches (0W, 1D, 1L), scoring 3 and conceding 4. Flamurtari Vlore are 7th with 2 points (0W, 2D, 0L), with 4 goals scored and 4 conceded. Neither side has recorded a league win yet, but Flamurtari’s unbeaten start gives them a slight edge. Kastrioti will be playing their first home game of the campaign, which could provide a boost.

Win Probability: Kastrioti Kruje or Flamurtari Vlore?

Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions, the win probabilities are: Kastrioti Kruje 18%, draw 38%, Flamurtari Vlore 44%. The odds implied probabilities were adjusted to account for Flamurtari’s superior H2H record, better recent form, and Kastrioti’s lack of home match sharpness. Flamurtari Vlore is the more likely winner, but the high draw probability reflects both teams’ tendency to share points.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds from bookmakers are: Kastrioti Kruje home win at 4.00, the draw at 2.20, and Flamurtari Vlore away win at 1.91. These odds clearly identify Flamurtari as the favorite. Taking into account all available stats, the safest betting tip is a double chance on Flamurtari or draw. A narrow away win or a score draw are the most realistic outcomes.