Flandria - Dock Sud prediction 28 September 2026

The Flandria vs Dock Sud prediction for the Primera B Metropolitana clash on Sep 28, 2026, at 19:00 points to a tight contest. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head stats, Flandria enter as home favorites with a 38% win probability, the draw stands at 34%, and Dock Sud have a 28% chance of pulling off an upset.

Team Form

Flandria’s recent form has been a rollercoaster with an L, W, L, W, L pattern across their last five matches. They lost 2-1 away to Deportivo Merlo on September 20, beat Club Atletico Social y Deportivo Camioneros 2-1 at home on September 13, fell 3-1 at Sportivo Italiano, defeated San Martin Burzaco 2-0 at home, and lost 3-2 at Villa San Carlos. That’s two wins and three defeats, highlighting defensive frailties on the road but some home resilience.

Dock Sud, on the other hand, have turned a corner with two straight away wins. Their last five results read D, L, L, W, W: a 0-0 home draw with Argentino de Quilmes on September 20, a 3-0 loss at Defensores Unidos, a 0-1 home defeat to Comunicaciones, a 2-0 victory at Ituzaingo, and a 2-1 win at Deportivo Merlo. The back-to-back away successes give them a confidence boost coming into this fixture.

Head-to-Head Record

The last four meetings between Flandria and Dock Sud have been evenly matched: 1 home win (Flandria), 2 draws, and 1 away win (Dock Sud). The most recent encounter on May 16, 2026, ended 0-0. Before that, Flandria won 1-0 at Dock Sud in July 2025, Dock Sud triumphed 2-1 at Flandria in March 2025, and the sides played out a 2-2 draw at Dock Sud in February 2024. The head-to-head numbers underline how little separates these two teams.

League Table Positions

Dock Sud sit 12th in the Primera B Metropolitana overall table with 44 points from 36 matches (10 wins, 14 draws, 12 losses, goals 38:38). Flandria are not listed in the top 12, indicating a lower position. The standings gap suggests Dock Sud have enjoyed a slightly better league campaign, which must be factored into the prediction.

Win Probability: Flandria or Dock Sud?

Using the available 1X2 odds (2.25 home, 2.92 draw, 3.63 away) as a baseline, inverse probabilities give Flandria a 41.8% chance, the draw 32.2%, and Dock Sud 25.9% after removing the bookmaker margin. Adjusting for recent form — Flandria’s inconsistency (two wins in five) and Dock Sud’s two consecutive away clean sheets — plus the head-to-head draw tendency and home advantage, the probabilities shift to:

• Flandria win: 38%
• Draw: 34%
• Dock Sud win: 28%

Flandria remain the most likely winner, but the draw probability is significant, and Dock Sud cannot be dismissed.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer a range for this match: Flandria home win between 2.12 and 2.25, the draw from 1.85 to 2.92, and a Dock Sud away victory from 3.50 to 4.15. The low draw odds quoted by several bookmakers reflect how competitive this fixture is expected to be. Based purely on the stats, Flandria are tipped to edge it, but the safest call points toward a draw. A 1-1 scoreline would align with the metrics – neither side has dominated their recent meetings, and both defences have shown vulnerabilities.