Haverfordwest County AFC - Flint Town United prediction 3 October 2026

Our Flint Town United vs Haverfordwest County prediction for this Wales Premier League clash on Oct 3, 2026 (14:30) points to a home victory. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head data, Haverfordwest County AFC has a 50% chance of winning, the draw sits at 25%, and Flint Town United holds a 25% win probability.

Team Form

Haverfordwest County AFC comes into this match with solid recent form — three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. The Bluebirds beat Holywell Town (1-0), Briton Ferry Llansawel (3-1), and Trefelin (2-1) at home, drew 1-1 away to Connahs Quay, and lost 0-1 at Colwyn Bay. That's 10 points from 15 available.

Flint Town United's last five show a different picture: just one win, one draw, and three defeats. The Silkmen's sole victory came at home to Ammanford AFC (3-0). Away from home, they lost 1-4 at Airbus UK, 0-5 at The New Saints, 0-3 at Caernarfon Town, and drew 1-1 at home with Cardiff Metropolitan. They've leaked goals on the road and managed only one point from three away trips.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall head-to-head stats across all meetings show 8 home wins, 4 draws, and 5 away wins. In the last five clashes, Haverfordwest County AFC won twice (3-1 at home, 1-0 away), Flint Town United won once (3-1 away), and two games ended level (0-0 and 2-2). The most recent fixture was a 1-0 away win for Haverfordwest on Apr 3, 2026.

League Table Positions

Haverfordwest County AFC sits 11th in the Wales Premier League with 10 points from 10 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses, 7 goals scored, 15 conceded). Flint Town United's league position is not provided in the available data, but their away results suggest they are in the lower part of the table.

Win Probability: Flint Town United or Haverfordwest County?

Using bookmaker odds as the base and adjusting for form, head-to-head, and home advantage, we calculate the following probabilities:

• Haverfordwest County AFC win — 50%
• Draw — 25%
• Flint Town United win — 25%

The odds implied roughly 44% for a Haverfordwest win, but the home side's strong recent form and Flint's poor away record push that number higher. Haverfordwest County AFC is the clear favourite to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: home win for Haverfordwest County AFC at 2.05, the draw at 3.40, and an away win for Flint Town United at 3.05. These odds reflect the home advantage and make the hosts the market favourite.

Based on the stats, we predict a home victory. Haverfordwest County AFC has won three of its last four home matches and already beat Flint Town United at home in the last H2H meeting (3-1). With Flint struggling on the road, a home win is the most likely outcome. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline looks probable, but always check team news before betting.