Flora Tallinn - Levadia Tallinn prediction 15 October 2026

Flora Tallinn vs Levadia Tallinn prediction for the Meistriliiga match on Oct 15, 2026 at 17:00. Levadia Tallinn is the favorite with a 54% win probability, while Flora Tallinn has a 17% chance and the draw is 29%.

Team Form

Flora Tallinn's recent form line is L, W, W, D, W. They lost 2-0 away at Kuressaare on Oct 11, beat Parnu JK Vaprus 3-2 at home on Sep 20, won 3-2 away at Nomme United on Sep 12, drew 2-2 at JK Narva Trans on Sep 8, and beat JK Nomme Kalju 2-1 at home on Sep 5.

Levadia Tallinn's recent form line is W, W, D, W, W. They beat Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 at home on Oct 11, won 10-0 at home against Keila in the Cup on Oct 7, drew 1-1 at JK Narva Trans on Sep 20, beat Tammeka Tartu 6-0 at home on Sep 17, and beat Parnu JK Vaprus 4-0 at home on Sep 12.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record is evenly balanced: Flora Tallinn have 24 wins, Levadia Tallinn have 24 wins, and 12 matches have ended in draws. In the latest five meetings, Flora won 2-1 away on Jun 28, 2026; Levadia won 3-1 away on Jun 13, 2026; Levadia won 4-0 at home on Apr 19, 2026; Flora won 1-0 in a friendly on Feb 14, 2026; and the teams drew 1-1 in the Cup on Oct 29, 2025.

League Table Positions

Levadia Tallinn sit 1st in the Meistriliiga with 75 points from 30 matches: 23 wins, 6 draws and only 1 loss, with 82 goals scored and 21 conceded. Flora Tallinn are 2nd with 55 points from 30 matches: 18 wins, 1 draw and 11 losses.

The home and away splits favor Levadia. Flora have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses in 15 home matches, while Levadia have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 15 away matches.

Win Probability: Flora Tallinn or Levadia Tallinn?

Based on odds, team form, head-to-head record, league table positions and the home/away factor, the calculated outcome probabilities are:

• Flora Tallinn win: 17%
• Draw: 29%
• Levadia Tallinn win: 54%

The 1X2 odds implied around 46% normalized chance for Levadia before adjustments. Their 20-point league lead and unbeaten away record increase that probability. Flora have home advantage, but six home defeats this season reduce their chances.

Flora Tallinn vs Levadia Tallinn Prediction & Odds

In the 1X2 market, Flora Tallinn is priced at 4.20 to 4.90, the draw at 2.48 to 2.75, and Levadia Tallinn at 1.78 to 2.00. Bookmakers see Levadia Tallinn as the clear favorite. This Flora Tallinn vs Levadia Tallinn prediction is that a Levadia win is the most likely outcome, with the draw as the second most probable result. Betting tips should note Levadia's strong away form, but this Tallinn derby can be close based on the balanced H2H record.