Flora Tallinn - JK Narva Trans prediction 1 November 2026

The JK Narva Trans vs Flora Tallinn prediction for this Meistriliiga match on Sep 08 at 14:30 points to a clear away favorite. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Flora Tallinn has a 65% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and JK Narva Trans has a 15% chance.

Team Form

JK Narva Trans are struggling, with a form line of L, L, W, L, D in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 3-1 defeat away to Kuressaare on Sep 05. At home, they lost 0-2 to Tammeka Tartu on Aug 30 and were beaten 4-0 by Levadia Tallinn on Aug 21. The only bright spot was a 2-0 cup win over JK Nomme Kalju on Aug 26.

Flora Tallinn's recent form reads W, W, L, L, W. They secured a 2-1 home victory against JK Nomme Kalju on Sep 05 and a 3-2 win over Tammeka Tartu on Sep 02. However, they did suffer a 1-2 home loss to Paide Linnameeskond on Aug 30 and a 3-1 defeat at Tammeka Tartu on Aug 26.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Flora Tallinn. In 57 previous meetings, Flora Tallinn have won 41 times, JK Narva Trans have won 6, and there have been 10 draws. The last five matches underline this dominance: Flora Tallinn won 3-0 away on May 16, 1-0 at home in the Cup on May 05, 6-0 at home on Apr 22, and 4-0 at home on Oct 21, 2025. The only recent exception was a 1-1 draw when JK Narva Trans hosted on Aug 02, 2025.

League Table Positions

Flora Tallinn sit 2nd in the Meistriliiga with 48 points from 26 matches (16 wins, 0 draws, 10 losses). They have scored 51 goals and conceded 33. JK Narva Trans are 10th with just 17 points from 26 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 19 losses), scoring only 19 goals while conceding 60. The 31-point gap between the sides is a strong indicator of the gulf in class. Flora Tallinn's away record is also strong: 2nd in the away table with 24 points from 12 matches.

Win Probability: JK Narva Trans or Flora Tallinn?

Flora Tallinn has a 65% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and JK Narva Trans has a 15% chance. These probabilities are calculated from the inverse of the best available odds (away win at 1.63, draw at 2.22, home win at 4.50), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for Flora Tallinn's dominant H2H record (41 wins in 57 matches), the 31-point league table gap, and JK Narva Trans's poor recent form. The away side is the clear favorite to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Flora Tallinn as the strong favorite. The best available odds show an away win at 1.63, a draw at 2.22, and a home win for JK Narva Trans as high as 4.50. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is an away victory for Flora Tallinn. Given the historical dominance and the current form gap, a bet on Flora Tallinn to win offers value, while the high-scoring H2H history also suggests a potential for over 2.5 total goals.