Saku Sporting Women - Flora Tallinn Women prediction 26 September 2026

The Flora Tallinn Women vs Saku Sporting Women prediction for the Meistriliiga Women match on August 20, 2026, at 12:00 UTC. Flora Tallinn Women enter as the favorite with a 55% win probability, according to our analysis of form, odds, and head-to-head data.

Team Form

Flora Tallinn Women have been in strong form, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their most recent result was a 4-2 home victory over Paide Linnanaiskond Women on August 15. The only defeat in that sequence came in the UEFA Champions League Women against Mgarr United Women (0-4).

Saku Sporting Women have also been impressive recently, winning four of their last five away matches. Their last outing was a 1-2 defeat at Viimsi MRJK Women on August 15, but prior to that they scored 4, 8, 4, and 2 goals in consecutive wins. Both teams are scoring freely, making this an intriguing contest.

Head-to-Head Record

In 35 previous meetings, Flora Tallinn Women have won 27 times, Saku Sporting Women have 5 wins, and 3 matches ended in a draw. This historical dominance is a key factor in the Flora Tallinn Women vs Saku Sporting Women prediction. The most recent encounter on May 30, 2026, finished 5-1 in favor of Flora. However, Saku Sporting Women have won two of the last five head-to-heads (both in early 2026), showing they can compete.

Win Probability: Flora Tallinn Women or Saku Sporting Women?

Based on the latest odds and team data, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows:

• Flora Tallinn Women win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• Saku Sporting Women win: 20%

These percentages are derived from the inverse of the bookmaker odds (1.50 home, 3.00 draw, 4.33 away) after removing the margin, then adjusted for Flora’s home advantage, the lopsided H2H record, and both teams’ recent scoring form. The numbers clearly point to Flora as the most likely winner, but the draw and an away upset cannot be ruled out.

Odds & Match Prediction

Looking at the available odds, one bookmaker lists Flora Tallinn Women at 1.50 for the win, the draw at 3.00, and Saku Sporting Women at 4.33. These odds reflect the market’s expectation that Flora are the strong favorites. Our Flora Tallinn Women vs Saku Sporting Women prediction aligns with this view: Flora have the edge in quality, historic dominance, and home soil. The most likely outcome is a home win, but Saku’s recent attacking threat could force a draw. A bet on Flora to win offers value based on the calculated 55% probability against the implied 54% from the odds.