Zabbar St. Patrick - Floriana prediction 26 October 2026

Malta ยท Premier LeagueFinished
Match Info
CompetitionPremier League ยท Malta
Start date
Kick-off
VenueTony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
Capacity8,000
Surfacegrass
RefereeE. Grech
Recent Form
Zabbar St. Patrick
W
L
W
L
L
Floriana
L
D
D
D
W
Recent matches ยท Zabbar St. Patrick
Premier League
Zabbar St. Patrick
Floriana
21
W
Premier League
Zabbar St. Patrick
Sliema Wanderers
23
L
Premier League
Balzan Youths
Zabbar St. Patrick
12
W
Premier League
Marsaxlokk
Zabbar St. Patrick
21
L
Premier League
Birkirkara FC
Zabbar St. Patrick
20
L
Premier League
Zabbar St. Patrick
Gzira United
00
D
Premier League
Zabbar St. Patrick
Hamrun Spartans FC
12
L
Premier League
Hibernians Paola
Zabbar St. Patrick
11
D
Premier League
Zabbar St. Patrick
Birzebbuga St. Peters
10
W
Premier League
Valletta FC
Zabbar St. Patrick
42
L
Friendly Clubs
Sliema Wanderers
Zabbar St. Patrick
31
L
Friendly Clubs
Marsaxlokk
Zabbar St. Patrick
00
D
Friendly Clubs
Birkirkara FC
Zabbar St. Patrick
21
L
Premier League
Tarxien Rainbows
Zabbar St. Patrick
00
D
Premier League
Zabbar St. Patrick
Tarxien Rainbows
11
D
Recent matches ยท Floriana
Premier League
Zabbar St. Patrick
Floriana
21
L
Premier League
Birkirkara FC
Floriana
11
D
Premier League
Floriana
Mosta FC
33
D
Premier League
Balzan Youths
Floriana
11
D
Premier League
Floriana
Hibernians Paola
40
W
Premier League
Marsaxlokk
Floriana
52
L
Premier League
Floriana
Gzira United
41
W
Premier League
Hamrun Spartans FC
Floriana
11
D
Premier League
Floriana
Sliema Wanderers
20
W
Premier League
Birzebbuga St. Peters
Floriana
03
W
UEFA Conference League Qualification
KF Drita
Floriana
11
D
UEFA Conference League Qualification
Floriana
KF Drita
11
D
UEFA Champions League Qualification
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
51
L
UEFA Champions League Qualification
Floriana
Shamrock Rovers
20
W
Premier League
Floriana
Marsaxlokk
21
W
Head-to-Head ยท summary
1
Zabbar St. Patrick
1
Draws
3
Floriana
Previous meetings
Premier League
Zabbar St. Patrick
Floriana
21
Premier League
Zabbar St. Patrick
Floriana
03
FA Trophy
Floriana
Zabbar St. Patrick
00
Premier League
Floriana
Zabbar St. Patrick
31
Premier League
Floriana
Zabbar St. Patrick
10
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Valletta FC1071222:9+1322
2Marsaxlokk1052316:14+217
3Sliema Wanderers1052314:13+117
4Floriana1044222:14+816
5Hamrun Spartans FC1044216:12+416
6Birkirkara FC1042412:9+314
7Mosta FC934213:13013
8Hibernians Paola93339:12-312
9Balzan Youths1025312:12011
10Zabbar St. Patrick1032512:16-411
11Gzira United100559:21-125
12Birzebbuga St. Peters101277:19-125
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana Prediction (Oct 26)

The Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana prediction for the Malta Premier League match on October 26, 2026, at 17:00 points towards an away victory. Based on the latest odds and team form, Floriana enters this fixture as the clear favorite with an estimated 55% win probability, while the hosts sit at around 20%.

Team Form

Zabbar St. Patrick's recent form has been poor, with a record of L, W, L, L, D in their last five matches. They suffered a 3-2 home defeat to Sliema Wanderers on Oct 21 and a 2-1 loss at Marsaxlokk on Oct 10. Their only win in this period was a 2-1 away result against Balzan Youths on Oct 17.

Floriana's last five results read D, D, D, W, L. They have drawn three consecutive matches: 1-1 at Birkirkara FC on Oct 22, a 3-3 home draw with Mosta FC on Oct 18, and a 1-1 draw at Balzan Youths on Oct 11. Their standout performance was a 4-0 home win against Hibernians Paola on Sep 20.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Floriana. In their last four meetings, Floriana has won three times, with one draw. Zabbar St. Patrick has yet to secure a victory. The most recent clash on Feb 1, 2026, ended in a 3-0 away win for Floriana. Earlier encounters include a 0-0 draw in the FA Trophy on Jan 28, 2026, and Premier League wins for Floriana of 3-1 (Sep 24, 2025) and 1-0 (Feb 2, 2025).

League Table Positions

Floriana sits 4th in the Premier League table with 16 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 21 goals and conceded 12. Zabbar St. Patrick is 10th with 8 points from 9 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses), scoring 10 and conceding 15. The 8-point gap and significant difference in goal difference highlight the gulf in class between the two sides this season.

Win Probability: Zabbar St. Patrick or Floriana?

After analyzing the available data, the win probabilities for this match are: Zabbar St. Patrick 20%, Draw 25%, Floriana 55%. This calculation is based on the bookmaker odds, which heavily favor Floriana (best price 1.44), adjusted for the teams' current form and the head-to-head record. Floriana's unbeaten away record in the league (2 wins, 2 draws) and their historical dominance in this fixture strongly support their status as the likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Floriana as the clear favorite. The available 1X2 odds show Floriana's win priced as low as 1.44, with the draw around 2.38 and a Zabbar St. Patrick home win as high as 7.25. Based on the stats, form, and H2H record, the prediction is an away win for Floriana. The value in the match likely lies with the away side, given their consistent performances and the hosts' struggles.

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana โ€” FAQ

Who will win Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana?
Floriana is the strong favorite to win. The calculated win probabilities are 55% for Floriana, 25% for a draw, and 20% for Zabbar St. Patrick, based on odds, form, and head-to-head data.
What is the win probability for Floriana?
Floriana has a 55% chance of winning this match. This high probability is driven by their superior league position (4th vs 10th), dominant head-to-head record (3 wins in 4 games), and the bookmaker odds which list them as short as 1.44 to win.
When is the Zabbar St. Patrick vs Floriana match?
The match is scheduled for October 26, 2026, at 17:00 local time. It is a Premier League fixture in Malta, to be played at the Tony Bezzina Stadium in Paola.
What are the odds for the match?
The 1X2 odds for the match show Floriana (away) as the favorite at prices ranging from 1.44 to 1.87. The draw is priced between 2.38 and 4.45, and a Zabbar St. Patrick home win is offered at odds from 5.25 to 7.25.
Zabbar St. Patrick โ€“ Floriana ยท match page