Zob Ahan - Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan prediction 13 October 2026

The Zob Ahan vs Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan prediction for this Pro League match on Oct 13, 2026, at 13:30 points to an away-favored contest. Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan carries a 43% win probability, while Zob Ahan holds a 15% chance and a draw sits at 42%.

Team Form

Zob Ahan’s last five matches have produced one win, three draws and one defeat (D, L, W, D, D). That run includes a 1-1 away draw at Nassaji Mazandaran and a 0-2 loss at Persepolis. Their only win in this sequence was a 1-0 home success against Paykan.

Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan comes into the fixture with three wins, one draw and one loss from their last five (W, W, D, W, L). They demolished Fajr Sepasi 6-1 at home and edged Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0, also beating Gol Gohar 2-0. The sole defeat was a 0-2 reverse at Esteghlal Tehran.

Clearly, Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan arrives in sharper form, especially in attack.

Head-to-Head Record

Across 26 previous meetings, Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan dominates the head-to-head with 15 wins, compared to Zob Ahan’s 6 victories, while 5 matches ended level. Recent encounters underline that trend: Foolad won 4-1 at home in February 2025, and the reverse fixture this season (Oct 4, 2025) finished 0-0. Zob Ahan last beat this opponent at home back in August 2023 (0-2).

League Table Positions

Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan sits 4th in the Pro League overall, having taken 13 points from 7 games (4 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Zob Ahan does not feature in the top 12 of the overall table, but their home record is solid: they are unbeaten in three home matches (1 win, 2 draws), collecting 5 points, and sit 8th in the home standings. This defensive record at home (2 scored, 1 conceded) suggests they can frustrate the visitors.

Win Probability: Zob Ahan or Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan?

After removing the bookmaker margin from the odds and factoring in current form, H2H history and home/away factors, the match outcome probabilities are:

• Zob Ahan win – 15%
• Draw – 42%
• Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan win – 43%

The base odds imply a very tight contest, with the draw priced as low as 1.95. Adjusted for Foolad’s superior recent form and dominant H2H record (15 wins to 6), the away side gains a marginal edge. Zob Ahan’s unbeaten home start (1W, 2D) keeps them in the game, but the probability of an away win is slightly higher than the draw.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ pre-match odds show Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan as the favourite with away-win prices around 2.15–2.20. The draw is offered at 1.95–2.00, and a Zob Ahan home win pays between 5.25 and 5.75. This market indicates a low-scoring, cautious encounter.

Based on the stats, the most likely outcomes are a narrow away victory or a share of the points. A 1-0 or 2-0 win for Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan, or a 1-1 draw, fit the data profile. Betting tips aligned with this prediction would lean towards the draw no bet or under 2.5 goals.