TSV Havelse - Fortuna Koln prediction 25 September 2026

The TSV Havelse vs Fortuna Koln prediction points to a closely contested 3rd Liga match on Sep 25, 2026, at 18:00 at 96 Das Stadion in Hannover. Based on our win probability analysis, a draw is the most likely outcome with a 40% chance, while both TSV Havelse and Fortuna Koln each have a 30% chance of winning. The betting tips and odds support this expectation of a tight, low-scoring affair.

Team Form

TSV Havelse's recent form reads D, L, D, L, W from their last five matches. They drew 0-0 with Fortuna Koln on Sep 19, lost 1-2 at MSV Duisburg on Sep 15, drew 2-2 at home to SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach on Sep 12, lost 1-2 at Preussen Munster on Sep 5, and beat SV Waldhof Mannheim 3-2 at home on Aug 30. The team has struggled for consistency, with only one win in five, though they have been competitive at home.

Fortuna Koln's form in the same period is D, L, D, D, W. They also drew in that Sep 19 head-to-head 0-0, lost 0-2 at home to SV Wehen Wiesbaden on Sep 16, drew 2-2 at 1899 Hoffenheim II on Sep 13, drew 0-0 at home to Fortuna Dusseldorf on Sep 6, and won 2-1 at SC Verl on Aug 29. Like their hosts, they have found wins hard to come by, registering just one victory in five outings.

Head-to-Head Record

The only recent meeting between the sides took place on Sep 19, 2026, at 96 Das Stadion, ending in a 0-0 stalemate. This head-to-head record shows a draw, which adds to the belief that Saturday's contest will again be a tight battle.

Win Probability: TSV Havelse or Fortuna Koln?

We have calculated the win probability using the available odds as a base and then adjusting for recent form and the head-to-head result. The numbers are: TSV Havelse win – 30%, draw – 40%, Fortuna Koln win – 30%. This reflects the balanced odds, the recent 0-0 draw, and neither team’s form giving a clear edge. Even with home advantage, TSV Havelse are not favoured enough to push their chances above the draw, while Fortuna Koln’s slight edge in some bookmakers’ odds is neutralised by the head-to-head history and their own patchy away form. The overall match outcome leans heavily towards another stalemate.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a very even contest. One bookmaker quotes home odds of 2.70, a draw at 2.30, and an away win at 2.70, which implies a 37% chance of a draw and around 31.5% for either side winning before our adjustment. Other odds show Fortuna Koln as a slight favourite with quotes as low as 2.45 away, while the home win reaches 2.90 in places. Still, the draw is consistently the shortest price across all listed bookmakers. Our match prediction is draw – based on the stats, the win probability model, and the goalless result just six days ago. Under 2.5 total goals also looks a solid betting tip given both teams’ recent lack of goals.