Foshan Nanshi - Guangxi Hengchen FC prediction 7 October 2026

Foshan Nanshi vs Guangxi Hengchen FC prediction for the China. League One clash on Oct 7, 2026, at 12:30. Guangxi Hengchen FC enter the match as clear favorites, with a 46% win probability according to our analysis, while Foshan Nanshi have just a 16% chance of victory.

Team Form

Foshan Nanshi

Foshan Nanshi are struggling, with no wins in their last five matches (0W, 2D, 3L). Their recent results: a 1-1 draw at Heilongjiang Ice City FC, a 3-2 loss at Suzhou Jinfu Dongwu, a 0-0 home draw against Dalian K'un City, a 2-1 home loss to Shenzhen Juniors FC, and a heavy 6-0 defeat at Changchun Yatai. They have conceded 12 goals in these five games, keeping only one clean sheet.

Guangxi Hengchen FC

Guangxi Hengchen FC are in excellent form, winning four of their last five matches (4W, 0D, 1L). They beat Wuxi Wugou 1-0 away, Nantong Zhiyun 1-0 away, Yanbian Longding 2-1 at home, lost 1-0 at home to Shijiazhuang Gongfu, and won 2-0 at Nanjing Fengfan. The team has kept three clean sheets in this run and scored 6 goals.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, on May 30, 2026, in China. League One. That match ended in a 3-3 draw, with Guangxi Hengchen FC as the home side. So the head-to-head record is perfectly balanced with one draw.

League Table Positions

Guangxi Hengchen FC sit 2nd in the China. League One table with 45 points from 24 games (13 wins, 6 draws, 5 losses). They are in the promotion race. Foshan Nanshi are not in the top 12, indicating a lower-table position. In away matches, Guangxi Hengchen FC rank 3rd with 20 points from 12 games (6 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses), showing strong traveling form. Foshan Nanshi's home form is not among the top eight, suggesting they struggle at home.

Win Probability: Foshan Nanshi or Guangxi Hengchen FC?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Foshan Nanshi win: 16%
• Draw: 38%
• Guangxi Hengchen FC win: 46%

The bookmakers' odds heavily favor an away win, with the best odds for a Guangxi Hengchen FC victory around 1.95. Foshan Nanshi's poor form (no win in five) and low league position make them underdogs. The draw has a significant 38% chance, reflecting the fact that the only previous meeting ended level. However, Guangxi Hengchen FC's strong away record and recent winning momentum give them the highest probability of securing all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this match show Guangxi Hengchen FC as the favorite. Across various bookmakers, the away win is priced between 1.82 and 1.95, the draw at 2.30 to 2.50, and a Foshan Nanshi home win at 4.75 to 5.50. These odds imply a clear advantage for the visitors. Our prediction: based on the stats, Guangxi Hengchen FC are the most likely winners, but the draw is a real possibility given Foshan Nanshi's two recent draws and the head-to-head result. A low-scoring away win or a draw are the most probable outcomes.