Iceland U21 - France U21 prediction 25 September 2026
Iceland U21
France U21
Faroe Islands U21Iceland U21Iceland U21Switzerland U21Iceland U21France U21France U21Iceland U21Iceland U21Estonia U21Luxembourg U21Iceland U21Iceland U21Luxembourg U21Switzerland U21Iceland U21Estonia U21Iceland U21Iceland U21Faroe Islands U21Iceland U21Colombia U20Brazil U20Iceland U21Scotland U21Iceland U21Iceland U21Hungary U21Iceland U21Poland U21France U21Switzerland U21France U21Luxembourg U21Estonia U21France U21Iceland U21France U21France U21Iceland U21Luxembourg U21France U21France U21Faroe Islands U21Switzerland U21France U21France U21Estonia U21Faroe Islands U21France U21France U21Serbia U21Germany U21France U21Denmark U21France U21France U21Poland U21France U21Georgia U21Iceland U21France U21France U21Iceland U21Iceland U21France U21| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Italy U21 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 32:7 | +25 | 27 |
| 2 |  Poland U21 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 28:8 | +20 | 27 |
| 3 |  Germany U21 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 30:5 | +25 | 24 |
| 4 |  Spain U21 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 40:4 | +36 | 24 |
| 5 |  Greece U21 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | +22 | 24 |
| 6 |  England U21 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22:4 | +18 | 23 |
| 7 | France U21 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 27:7 | +20 | 23 |
| 8 |  Portugal U21 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 33:2 | +31 | 22 |
| 9 |  Finland U21 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30:3 | +27 | 22 |
| 10 |  Czech Republic U21 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:4 | +13 | 18 |
| 11 |  Switzerland U21 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | +6 | 17 |
| 12 |  Ireland Republic U21 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 |  Slovakia U21 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | +3 | 17 |
| 14 |  Norway U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | +13 | 16 |
| 15 |  Belgium U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:2 | +11 | 16 |
| 16 |  Croatia U21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | +11 | 16 |
| 17 |  Romania U21 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:6 | +5 | 16 |
| 18 | Iceland U21 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20:11 | +9 | 15 |
| 19 |  Denmark U21 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 14 |
| 20 |  Northern Ireland U21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | 14 |
| 21 |  Scotland U21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 23:12 | +11 | 14 |
| 22 |  Kosovo U21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:7 | +10 | 14 |
| 23 |  Bulgaria U21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 14 |
| 24 |  Sweden U21 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 |
| 25 |  Turkey U21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 |
| 26 |  Ukraine U21 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 12 |
| 27 |  Faroe Islands U21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 12 |
| 28 |  Montenegro U21 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 |
| 29 |  Austria U21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 30 |  Israel U21 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 31 |  Georgia U21 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
| 32 |  Netherlands U21 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | +1 | 9 |
| 33 |  Andorra U21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 34 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina U21 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 7 |
| 35 |  North Macedonia U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
| 36 |  Luxembourg U21 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 7 |
| 37 |  Azerbaijan U21 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:24 | -16 | 7 |
| 38 |  Hungary U21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 39 |  Wales U21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:21 | -15 | 6 |
| 40 |  Moldova U21 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
| 41 |  Latvia U21 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:20 | -14 | 5 |
| 42 |  Slovenia U21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 5 |
| 43 |  Belarus U21 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 44 |  Kazakhstan U21 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:18 | -9 | 4 |
| 45 |  Cyprus U21 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:29 | -23 | 3 |
| 46 |  Lithuania U21 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:16 | -12 | 2 |
| 47 |  Estonia U21 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:25 | -16 | 2 |
| 48 |  Armenia U21 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5:25 | -20 | 1 |
| 49 |  Malta U21 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2:36 | -34 | 0 |
| 50 |  San Marino U21 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0:55 | -55 | 0 |
| 51 |  Gibraltar U21 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1:41 | -40 | 0 |
Iceland U21 vs France U21 Prediction (Sep 25)
The Iceland U21 vs France U21 prediction for the Euro Championship U21 Qualification match on Sep 25, 2026, at 16:00, points to a clear favorite. Based on odds, form, and head-to-head record, France U21 has a 60% chance of winning, while Iceland U21 holds a 12% probability and the draw is at 28%.
Team Form
Iceland U21's last five matches show a mixed run: three wins, one draw, and one loss (L, W, W, W, D). Their most recent outing was a 1-2 defeat away to France U21 on Mar 30, 2026. Before that, they secured a 6-2 home win over Estonia U21 and a 3-1 away victory against Luxembourg U21. The home side has been scoring consistently but struggled defensively against stronger opponents.
France U21 comes into this fixture in excellent shape, with four wins and one draw in their last five (W, W, W, D, W). They beat Iceland U21 2-1 at home, thrashed Luxembourg U21 5-1 away, and edged Faroe Islands U21 1-0. The only blemish was a 1-1 draw at Switzerland U21. France's attack has been prolific, netting 21 goals in six qualification matches.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met twice in Euro Championship U21 Qualification history, and France U21 has won both encounters. On Mar 30, 2026, France U21 won 2-1 at home. The previous meeting on Mar 31, 2021, ended 0-2 in Iceland, with France U21 again taking all three points. Iceland U21 has yet to score a home goal against this opponent.
League Table Positions
France U21 sits 8th in the overall qualification standings with 16 points from 6 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), scoring 21 goals and conceding only 4. Iceland U21 is not among the top 12 teams listed, indicating a significantly lower position and fewer points. The gap in quality is reflected in both the table and the head-to-head results.
Win Probability: Iceland U21 or France U21?
After normalizing bookmaker odds and adjusting for recent form and historical data, the win probabilities are: Iceland U21 12%, draw 28%, France U21 60%. France's superior form, perfect H2H record, higher league standing, and strong away performances (12 goals scored in 3 away qualifiers) heavily tilt the balance. Iceland's home advantage offers a slight boost, but it is unlikely to overturn the clear gap in quality. The draw remains a plausible outcome given Iceland's occasional resilience, but France U21 is the overwhelming favorite to win.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see France U21 as the strong favorite. The best available odds for a home win range from 7.00 to 8.30, the draw is priced between 2.50 and 4.85, and an away win for France U21 is as low as 1.36 to 1.75. These odds imply a high probability of a France victory. Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is an away win for France U21, possibly with over 2.5 total goals given both teams' recent scoring records.
Iceland U21 vs France U21 โ FAQ
- Who will win Iceland U21 vs France U21?
- France U21 is the clear favorite to win, with a 60% probability. Iceland U21 has only a 12% chance, while the draw stands at 28%. These figures are based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and a head-to-head record that shows two wins for France.
- What is the win probability for France U21?
- France U21 has a 60% chance of winning this match. This high probability reflects their unbeaten qualification campaign (5 wins, 1 draw), a perfect head-to-head record against Iceland U21, and a much higher league table position.
- When is the Iceland U21 vs France U21 match?
- The match takes place on Sep 25, 2026, at 16:00 local time (UTC+1). It is a Euro Championship U21 Qualification fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds vary across bookmakers. A home win for Iceland U21 is offered at 7.00โ8.30, the draw at 2.50โ4.85, and an away win for France U21 at 1.36โ1.75. These odds confirm France U21 as the strong favorite.