Frem - Sundby BK prediction 26 September 2026

The Frem vs Sundby BK prediction for this Denmark 3rd Division match on Sep 26, 2026, points to a tight contest with Frem holding a slight edge. Based on the latest odds and team form, Frem has a 38% win probability, a draw stands at 37%, and Sundby BK has a 25% chance. The match kicks off at 13:00 local time, and bookmakers see the home side as the narrow favorite.

Team Form

Frem enter this fixture in poor shape, with three defeats in their last five outings (L, L, L, W, D). They lost 3-2 at Ishoej IF, 3-2 at Holstebro, and 2-1 at home to Roskilde Boldklub 1906 in the Cup, before a 5-2 home win over Ringsted and a 2-2 draw at Vanlose. The attack has scored 16 goals in 8 league games, but the defence has leaked 15.

Sundby BK have been inconsistent, recording two wins and three losses in their last five (W, L, L, W, L). They beat Holstebro 2-0 at home and ASA Aarhus 1-0, but lost 2-1 at Helsingor, 7-0 at home to Midtjylland in the Cup, and 2-0 at Ringsted. With only 11 goals scored in 8 league matches, their attack lacks firepower.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these sides is perfectly balanced over five meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draw, and 2 away wins. The most recent clash, on Jun 13, 2026, ended 0-0 at Frem. Before that, Sundby BK won 2-1 at home, Frem won 2-1 away, Frem won 3-2 at home, and Sundby BK won 2-1 in a friendly. In 3rd Division encounters, neither team has established clear dominance.

League Table Positions

Both teams are struggling near the bottom of the 3rd Division. Frem sit 9th with 8 points from 8 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses), while Sundby BK are 10th with 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses). Frem have scored 16 and conceded 15; Sundby BK have scored 11 and conceded 15. The gap is just one point, underlining how close this match is on paper.

Win Probability: Frem or Sundby BK?

After normalizing the bookmaker odds and adjusting for recent form and home advantage, the win probabilities are: Frem 38%, draw 37%, Sundby BK 25%. The odds imply Frem are the most likely winner, but the draw is almost equally probable. Frem’s home status gives them a small lift, yet their three recent losses and Sundby BK’s mixed results keep the percentages tight. In short, Frem has the best chance, but a stalemate is a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: one bookmaker lists Frem at 2.38, the draw at 2.50, and Sundby BK at 3.50; another has 2.28, 2.38, and 3.65 respectively. These prices confirm Frem as the favorite, but the low draw odds reflect the expectation of a close game. Based on the stats, the most likely result is a narrow Frem win or a draw. A bet on under 2.5 goals could also be worth considering given both teams’ recent scoring records.